【环球时报记者 倪浩 环球时报驻新加坡特约记者 辛斌】在美国科技类股票及金银等金属资产价格剧烈 震荡之际，亚洲股市正吸引全球投资者涌入。彭博社报道称，在又一个可能成为"市场大年"的背景下， 亚洲股市表现持续超越欧美市场。海外投资者对美元资产持续"祛魅"，资金不断流入由人工智能及经济 基本面支撑的亚洲股市，或助推亚洲市场在2026年再迎投资"大年"。 亚洲市场表现强势 彭博社称，衡量亚洲市场的指数延续2025年的强劲走势，今年1月上涨7.5%，创下2023年以来最大月度 涨幅。周三收盘后，亚洲股市延续涨势，再创历史新高，助力主要股指跑赢标普500指数和欧洲斯托克 600指数。 与此同时，美国降息预期推迟，人工智能领域不确定性加大，投资者对美国科技股、贵金属及加密货币 的信心正逐步减弱。 去年春天，华尔街流行"减持美国"，如今的热门交易是买入全球其他市场。美国《华尔街日报》报道 称，2026年迄今，包括欧洲斯托克600指数、韩国综合指数和MSCI新兴市场指数在内的若干全球性指数 表现，均已领先美国主要基准指数。在多年大举押注美国大型公司后，投资者正将更多资金转入国际市 场，押注美国对世界其他地区的巨大领先优势将有 ...

Group 1 - The recent fluctuations in the US dollar index are influenced by multiple factors, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and stronger-than-expected employment and consumption data [1] - The dollar index rose from 97.232 on September 23 to 98.347 on September 26, indicating significant volatility [1] - Analysts believe that the return of risk-averse capital is a key driver of the dollar's strong rebound, although the long-term trend remains a weakening dollar [1] Group 2 - The era of the US dollar and US Treasury bonds as safe-haven assets is coming to an end, with the dollar showing the weakest performance among major currencies this year [2] - The dollar has depreciated by approximately 10% this year, reflecting structural issues in the US economy and fiscal situation [2] - Citic Securities predicts that the dollar's weakness will persist at least until 2025, influenced by the Fed's interest rate cuts and a weakening job market [2] Group 3 - There has been a noticeable decoupling between the A-share market and US Treasury yields since 2023, with A-shares not weakening despite rising US bond yields [3] - Certain sectors of the A-share market, such as the North Star 50 and the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, have outperformed global indices this year [3] - This indicates a shift in the pricing logic of A-shares, which is no longer directly linked to US Treasury pricing [3]

Group 1 - The "Phoenix Bay Area Financial Forum 2025" was held in Guangzhou, focusing on the theme "New Pattern, New Path" and gathering global elites from politics, business, and academia to explore development opportunities amidst changing circumstances [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley's Chief Economist for China, Xing Zhiqiang, highlighted that the Federal Reserve's initiation of a rate-cutting cycle is a focal point for global financial markets, predicting a cumulative rate cut of nearly 125 basis points from the current level above 4% to around 3% by mid-next year [3] - Xing noted that U.S. immigration and tariff policies are exerting continuous pressure on inflation, with an expected U.S. inflation rate (CPI) maintaining around 3% [3] - A significant change is anticipated as U.S. real interest rates decline, potentially reducing the demand for the dollar and U.S. Treasury bonds, leading to increased volatility in the U.S. Treasury market [3] Group 3 - Future Federal Reserve chairs may face increased political pressure, complicating the process of raising interest rates to curb inflation, which could be detrimental to the dollar [4] - The long-held beliefs in "American exceptionalism" and "the dollar's dominance" are undergoing a reassessment, with markets likely to reevaluate the U.S.'s long-term fiscal discipline and monetary credibility [4]