Group 1 - The unexpected announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel has triggered significant reactions in global financial markets, leading to a sell-off of the dollar and a sharp decline in oil prices [2][5] - Both Iran and Israel declared victory despite the ceasefire, indicating ongoing tensions and continued military actions in the region [3][4] - Analysts suggest that the ceasefire may be a temporary measure, as both parties have shown a willingness to de-escalate the situation, but the underlying issues remain unresolved [4][8] Group 2 - Oil prices surged over 10% due to heightened geopolitical risks, with WTI crude reaching a peak of $77 per barrel, but are now expected to decline as risks diminish [5][6] - Major institutions predict that Brent crude oil prices will fall to around $60 per barrel by the end of the year, supported by strong global oil supply growth [6] - The dollar experienced a significant drop following the ceasefire announcement, returning to the 97 range, as the market reacted to the easing of geopolitical tensions [6][7] Group 3 - The potential for a long-term ceasefire remains uncertain, hinging on the continuation of nuclear negotiations and the mutual concerns regarding missile development between Iran and Israel [8][9] - The ceasefire agreement lacks detailed terms and enforcement mechanisms, raising concerns about its stability and the risk of miscommunication leading to renewed conflict [9]