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经济学家:特朗普解雇美联储理事库克可能打乱美国政府预算
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 02:31
Core Insights - The independence of central banks has been a cornerstone of the global financial system since the early 1990s, and attempts to undermine the Federal Reserve's independence are concerning [1] Group 1 - The potential dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Cook and the subsequent appointment of a new governor directly influenced by the President could negatively impact financial markets [1] - Such changes may lead to an increase in bond yields, which are crucial for managing U.S. government debt [1]
32年来头一遭!美联储决策层首现分裂,但仍“按兵不动”,鲍威尔:降息欠火候
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-31 11:23
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting this year where rates were held steady, aligning with market expectations [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve's Decision - The decision to keep interest rates unchanged reflects a cautious approach amid ongoing economic uncertainties [1] - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks suggested a strong stance, raising questions about potential rate cuts in September [3][5] Group 2: Economic Context - Powell emphasized that the Fed does not consider the U.S. government's financing needs when setting monetary policy, focusing instead on controlling inflation and maintaining a strong labor market [5] - The U.S. government is projected to incur $1.1 trillion in interest expenses in 2024, with debt management costs having more than doubled since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, largely due to high interest rates aimed at curbing inflation [5] Group 3: Dissenting Votes - Two Federal Reserve governors, Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, cast dissenting votes against the decision to maintain the current interest rate, advocating for a 0.25% reduction [7] - This marks a rare occurrence, as the last instance of two governors voting against a decision dates back to 1993, highlighting the unusual nature of this dissent [9]