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新消费2025Q3板块表现总结:25Q1-Q3美妆大盘表现稳健优质国货品牌竞争力渐显
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-09 12:10
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the beauty and personal care industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Viewpoints - The beauty market in China showed steady performance in Q1-Q3 2025, with retail sales of cosmetics growing by 3.9% year-on-year, surpassing the overall retail sales growth of consumer goods at 3.3% [4][5] - The high-end segment is expected to outperform the mass market, with projected CAGR for high-end skincare and makeup at 9.6% and 10.8% respectively from 2023 to 2028, compared to 8.2% and 6.7% for the mass market [6] Summary by Sections Market Performance - In Q1-Q3 2025, the beauty market maintained stable demand, with monthly retail sales growth fluctuating, peaking at 8.6% in September [4][5] - The personal care segment performed well, with revenue reaching 52.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.7% [16] Segment Analysis - Cosmetics segment revenue was 299.9 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 0.02%, while net profit decreased by 2.5% [16] - The medical beauty segment saw revenue of 74.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.7%, but net profit increased by 14.5% [16] - The personal care segment's revenue growth was driven by product innovation and expansion, with notable performances from companies like RuBen and RYTHM [16] Brand Competition - The competitive landscape is stable, with domestic brands like Proya and Han Shu gaining market share, particularly in platforms like Tmall and Douyin [11][12] - The report highlights the increasing strength of domestic brands due to their brand power and local advantages [12]