交易员正在对美股小盘股进行看涨押注，尽管过去一年中小盘股一直难以跑赢大盘股。对美联储降息预期的升温正推动投资者以更积极的眼光看待那些将受 益于低利率的中小型上市公司。数据显示，在截至上周五的五个交易日中，罗素2000指数上涨了8.5%，而该指数今年迄今累计上涨12.12%，这意味着贡献 了今年累计涨幅的70%以上。追踪该指数的最大交易所交易基金iShares Russell 2000 ETF的未平仓看涨期权合约数量相较于看跌期权数量，升至自9月以来的 最高水平，显示市场对反弹将持续的乐观情绪。 根据汇编数据，周二，一名交易员支付了约140万美元的期权费，买入在iShares Russell 2000 ETF于12月12日前上涨至255美元以上时将获利的看涨期权。该 ETF上周五收盘价距离该水平还有2.5%。另外，一名交易员则押注该ETF将在明年2月前上涨8%。 Susquehanna衍生品策略联席主管克里斯·墨菲表示："从12月的短期看涨期权到更长期限的结构，市场的看涨仓位正在跨多个到期日持续增加。" BTIG董事总经理兼首席市场技术分析师乔纳森·克林斯基表示，他认为小盘股近期的突破"更有可能持续下去"。摩根 ...

Core Viewpoint - Analysts are betting on a significant rebound opportunity for small-cap stocks, despite a poor start in 2025, with historical data suggesting a 60% chance of small-cap stocks outperforming large-cap stocks in June [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Russell 2000 index has declined approximately 5.9% year-to-date, underperforming the S&P 500's 1.5% gain, and small-cap stocks have not reached new highs since 2021 [1] - The sentiment around small-cap stocks is currently pessimistic, with call option volumes in the Russell 2000 ETF nearing their lowest since February [2] - Short positions in small-cap stocks have been increasing, with the iShares Russell 2000 ETF seeing its highest short amount since 2022 [2] Group 2: Potential Catalysts for Rebound - A substantial agreement between the U.S. and its trade partners, along with strong economic data, could serve as catalysts for a rebound in small-cap stocks [2] - The Russell 2000 index has shown a slight outperformance against the S&P 500 by 0.5 percentage points in the first three trading days of June [2] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The Russell 2000 index is currently at a critical turning point around 2100 points, with a potential rise to 2500 points (a 19% increase) if it breaks through this level [3]