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“投资界春晚”即将上演:巴菲特如何看待特朗普政府的激进政策?
凤凰网财经· 2025-05-01 11:34
Core Viewpoint - The upcoming Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholder meeting on May 3 is significant as it marks the 60th anniversary of Warren Buffett's acquisition of the company, and it may be his last full participation due to his advanced age [1] Group 1: Leadership Transition - Buffett's successor, Abel, is expected to take over as CEO soon, indicating a gradual end to the Buffett era, which may lead to significant changes in Berkshire's management and investment philosophy [2][3] - Abel's management style is more hands-on compared to Buffett's, and his ability to maintain Berkshire's culture of long-term investment and focus on quality companies will be closely scrutinized [2] - Buffett's children, Howard and Susan, may also influence the company's future through their control of trust funds holding Buffett's shares, although their influence will diminish over time as Buffett's shares are donated to charity [3] Group 2: Cash Reserves Management - Berkshire's cash reserves have reached a record $334 billion, equivalent to the foreign exchange reserves of the top twenty economies, with cash constituting the highest percentage of total assets since 1998 [5] - The market is eager to hear Buffett's insights on risk management and whether he will initiate large-scale acquisitions or stock buybacks [6] - Analysts suggest that investors expecting significant stock purchases may be disappointed, as Buffett has been cautious with new investments and has been a net seller of stocks in recent years [7] Group 3: Political and Economic Outlook - Buffett's views on the aggressive policies of the Trump administration, which have caused global market volatility, are anticipated to be a focal point during the meeting [9][10] - Despite his previous support for American resilience, Buffett has criticized Trump's tariff policies, indicating a potential divergence from the administration's economic strategies [9] - The meeting will also address how Buffett perceives the current U.S. stock market's valuation and whether he will shift focus to international markets, particularly Japan and Europe, which may offer more attractive investment opportunities [12] Group 4: Future of Berkshire Hathaway - The upcoming meeting is seen as a pivotal moment for Berkshire Hathaway, as Buffett's insights will serve as a critical guide for investors navigating the company's future in a post-Buffett era [13]