股东回报改善

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高盛唱多中国“民营企业十巨头”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-16 05:58
据智通财经报道,近日,高盛首席中国股票策略师刘劲津发布名为《中国民营企业的回归:潮流已经逆 转》的研究报告。刘劲津指出,在各种宏观、政策和微观因素驱动下,中国民营企业的中期投资前景正 在改善。 最新研报仿效美股"七巨头",列出了中国"十巨头",即高盛特别看好的十大中国民营上市公司。他们分 别是:腾讯、阿里巴巴、小米、比亚迪、美团、网易、美的、恒瑞医药、携程和安踏。 这些公司覆盖了互动媒体、零售、科技硬件、汽车、餐饮、娱乐、家用耐用消费品、医药、酒店和纺织 服装等多个子行业。它们共占MSCI中国指数42%的权重,日均交易额达110亿美元,显示出极高的市场 影响力和投资吸引力。 从主题上看,"民营十巨头"代表了人工智能/技术发展、自给自足、全球化、服务消费及中国股东回报 改善等五大投资趋势。 高盛认为,中国"民营十巨头"具备类似"美股七姐妹"的市场主导潜力,可能在未来进一步提升中国股市 的集中度,改变投资者对中国资产的认知。 此外,高盛还特别提及,AI技术正重塑竞争格局,大型民企在AI投资、开发和商业化方面表现更为突 出。 高盛估算,AI技术的广泛应用可在未来十年中每年推动中国企业盈利增长2.5%,而民企在其定义 ...
麦格理华润啤酒会议纪要:市场份额扩大,股东汇报改善
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 02:21
Core Viewpoint - China Resources Beer is experiencing strong performance in the beer industry, with a focus on market share growth and shareholder returns, despite recent stock sales by the president being attributed to personal financial planning rather than company fundamentals [1][3]. Group 1: Beer Business Performance - The beer business is outperforming industry peers, with a recovery in sales growth in April after a slowdown in March, driven by Heineken's 20% growth and successful penetration into key live house channels [1]. - Super X beer has rebounded with a 10% sales growth after a decline due to rebranding last year, supported by a well-adjusted product mix that maintains low single-digit average price growth [1]. - The company aims for low single-digit growth in both sales and average price, with a projected gross margin increase of approximately 1% and double-digit profit growth through cost savings [1]. Group 2: Channel Dynamics - The sales channel is shifting towards non-immediate consumption, with immediate consumption accounting for 38% of total beer sales, where over 60% is high-end beer [1]. - Non-immediate consumption channels represent 62% of total sales, with high-end products still in early stages, contributing only 40%, but showing high single-digit growth, which will be a key driver for the group's premiumization strategy [1]. Group 3: Regional Performance and Strategy - Regionally, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian are performing well, while Sichuan is affected by weak consumer demand [2]. - The white liquor business will adopt a defensive strategy by reducing sales scale and controlling operational expenses to achieve breakeven, indicating effective management of goodwill impairment risks [2]. Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2024A to 2027E show a gradual increase from 38,635 million to 43,216 million, with revenue growth rates of (0.8%), 3.2%, 4.1%, and 4.1% respectively [5]. - EBIT is expected to grow from 6,960 million in 2024A to 9,930 million in 2027E, with growth rates of (10.0%), 16.9%, 11.8%, and 9.2% [5]. - Reported profit is projected to rise from 4,739 million in 2024A to 6,411 million in 2027E, with adjusted profit following a similar upward trend [5].