12月10日建材ETF（159745）涨幅居前。 | 建材ETF(159745.SZ) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 闭市 12-10 15:00:06 | | | | | | 0.646 0.656 | 昨日 | 流通常 | | 12.74亿 | | 0.646 +0.010 +1.55% | 开盘 | 流通值 | | 8.4亿 | | 最高 0.657 57.8 万 | 成交量 | 换手率 | | 4.54% | | 最低 0.644 3763万 | 成交题 | 均价 | | 0.651 | | IOPV 0.6551 0.14% | 澄折率 | 贴水率 | | 1.36% | | 净值走势 国泰中证全指建筑材料ETF(159745.OF) 0.6472 -1.78% | | | | | | से स्थ 間K 五日 | 日K | 目K | 电子 | (0) | | 鹽加:IOPV | | 均价:0.657 | 盘口 | 成交 | | 0.657 | | WIT TAL | | 卖5 0.6601.40万 | | | | | 524 | 0.659 ...

Core Viewpoint - The cement sector is expected to turn profitable in Q3 2025 due to a decline in production costs and a slight recovery in prices, despite ongoing challenges in the real estate market and limited infrastructure support [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, infrastructure investment is projected to maintain growth, supporting demand for building materials [1] - The supply-demand imbalance in the cement industry is easing, although demand is still expected to decline due to the real estate sector not stabilizing and limited infrastructure activity [1] - The industry's awareness of "anti-involution" is increasing, and with a positive start, a slight recovery in average cement prices is anticipated, leading to some degree of profit recovery [1] Group 2: ETF and Index Information - The building materials ETF (159745) tracks the construction materials index (931009), which includes securities from companies involved in the manufacturing and sales of cement, glass, ceramics, and other building materials [1] - This index reflects the overall performance of publicly listed companies in the building materials sector and is significantly influenced by the real estate and infrastructure industries [1]

（责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 建材ETF（159745）跟踪的是建筑材料指数（931009），该指数从沪深市场中选取涉及水泥、玻 璃、陶瓷等建筑材料生产与销售业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映建筑材料行业相关上市公司 证券的整体表现。该指数成分股多为行业内具有代表性的企业，适合关注基础建设及房地产市场发展的 投资者配置。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险 等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 国泰海通指出，水泥行业当前处于政策执行与治理改善的关键阶段。反内卷政策方向明确，水泥协 会已推动限制超产的技术标准落地 ...

Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities indicates that the State Council's emphasis on promoting consumption and stabilizing investment reflects ongoing positive policy factors, with short-term market focus on new technologies and themes such as perovskite and asset restructuring [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The market is currently showing high attention to new technologies and themes, particularly in the perovskite and asset restructuring sectors [1] - The energy storage industry chain is expected to benefit from price increases in new materials, with a notable reduction in inventory in the carbon fiber industry [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Three main investment lines for 2026 are identified: companies benefiting from overseas expansion that are not yet fully priced in, real estate chain companies with cleared risks and potential turning points in revenue or profitability, and new material companies likely to benefit from high-end manufacturing replacements [1] Group 3: Industry Index - The Building Materials ETF (159745) tracks the Building Materials Index (931009), which selects listed companies involved in the manufacturing and sales of cement, glass, ceramics, and other building materials [1] - The index reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the building materials sector, which is closely related to the real estate and infrastructure industries, with a primary focus on traditional manufacturing [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by 1.95%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.04%, and the ChiNext Index by 3.36% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.94 trillion, an increase of 6.9 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Concerns over the high valuation levels of technology growth stocks have led to a collective sell-off in this sector, which had previously shown strong performance [1][2] Short-term and Long-term Outlook - In the short term, there may be continued downward pressure on the market, but the long-term bull market is not expected to end, and the current pullback may present a good opportunity for active allocation [1][6] - The market has been oscillating around the 3900-point mark, with multiple attempts to break through both upwards and downwards [1][2] Sector Performance - The technology sector has faced significant corrections, with the ChiNext Index's maximum drawdown approaching -12% and the Sci-Tech 50's drawdown exceeding -14% [7] - The "反内卷" (anti-involution) and technology sectors are highlighted as key areas for investment, reflecting market optimism regarding corporate profitability and valuation levels [9][10] Livestock Industry Insights - The livestock sector, particularly pig farming, is showing signs of recovery, with the price of pigs rising from below 14 yuan to around 21 yuan, marking an increase of nearly 50% [12] - The Ministry of Agriculture has initiated measures to control pig production, indicating a shift towards reducing supply, which is expected to support price increases in the future [12][14] - Major pig farming companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs have reported significant profit improvements, with net profits of 18.9 billion yuan and 9.2 billion yuan, respectively [12] Cost Control and Industry Dynamics - The pig farming industry has seen significant cost optimization, with leading companies reducing their costs to approximately 12-13 yuan per kilogram [17] - The industry is entering a phase of capacity reduction, with the number of breeding sows decreasing, which is expected to support future price increases [14][16] Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices have reached historical highs, with London gold spot prices peaking at 4380 points, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties [19] - The demand for gold as a "safe-haven" asset is expected to remain strong due to concerns over inflation and economic stagnation in the U.S. [20][21]

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials sector is experiencing increased investment interest, driven by favorable monetary policies and government initiatives aimed at stabilizing the real estate market in China [1]. Group 1: Market Trends - The construction materials ETF (159745) saw a net inflow of 11 million units, indicating strong demand for construction assets [1]. - The easing of monetary policy in Europe and the U.S. is expected to create more fiscal space for China, potentially benefiting the construction materials sector [1]. - The real estate market is anticipated to stabilize, with policies such as lower mortgage rates and reduced deed taxes being implemented to support demand [1]. Group 2: Industry Insights - The sales area of commercial housing has been declining for over three years since its peak in 2021, suggesting that the industry is approaching a bottoming phase [1]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) in China has experienced negative growth for 35 consecutive months, highlighting the need for supply-side reforms to reverse this trend [1]. - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from supply-side adjustments as the industry anticipates a turning point in production capacity cycles [1]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The construction materials ETF (159745) tracks the CSI All Share Construction Materials Index, which includes segments such as cement, glass, and consumer building materials [1]. - Investors are encouraged to consider the construction materials ETF (159745) as a potential investment opportunity given the current market dynamics [1].

Core Insights - The construction materials ETF (159745) has seen a net inflow of 69 million units, indicating strong investor interest in construction assets [1] - The Cement Association released a document on July 1 to respond to anti-involution policies, which is expected to enhance the enforcement of production limitation policies [1] - The implementation of these policies is anticipated to lead to a continuous decline in cement production capacity and a significant increase in capacity utilization [1] Industry Summary - The cement industry is currently experiencing a seasonal low in demand and pricing, with a reported year-on-year decline of 6.2% in cement production for August 2025 [1] - The policy catalyst is expected to improve the supply-demand dynamics within the industry [1] - The construction materials ETF (159745) tracks the CSI All-Share Construction Materials Index, which includes segments such as cement, glass, and consumer building materials [1] Investment Opportunity - Investors interested in construction materials may consider the construction materials ETF (159745), which has a scale of 1.142 billion and ranks first among three similar products [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that high-quality companies in the consumer building materials sector are expected to further highlight their alpha, with price increases in Q3 2025 being noteworthy [1] - Demand for residential real estate remains relatively weak in Q3 2025, while retail building materials are expected to perform relatively well [1] - Sectors with strong brand value, retail attributes, and high renovation ratios, such as coatings and tiles, are anticipated to shine, particularly leading companies with strong brands and channels [1] Group 2 - Urbanization rates are gradually increasing in regions like Africa and South America, leading to a favorable pattern for post-cycle renovation building materials, maintaining good prosperity [1] - The building materials ETF (159745) tracks the CSI All-Share Building Materials Index, encompassing segments like cement, glass, and consumer building materials [1] - As of October 9, 2025, the building materials ETF has a scale of 1.106 billion, ranking first among three similar products [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the building materials ETF (159745) is expected to benefit from improved real estate policies and "anti-involution" policies, leading to a nearly 2% increase in its price and a net inflow of nearly 300 million yuan over the past two trading days [1] - The Shanghai Housing Provident Fund Management Committee has issued a notice to optimize the housing provident fund withdrawal and loan policies, effective from August 26, 2025, which includes increasing the loan limit for green buildings by 15% and allowing fund withdrawals for down payments on new pre-sale properties [1] - Dongxing Securities indicates that the combination of intense market competition and the implementation of various policies will accelerate the elimination of outdated production capacity in the building materials industry, enhancing the growth certainty of leading companies and leading to valuation recovery and performance elasticity [1] Group 2 - Investors without stock accounts can access investment opportunities in the building materials sector through the building materials ETF's connecting fund (013020) [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the market has the potential to challenge the 4000-point level, and investors with existing positions may hold, while those without should wait or observe [1] - The market has recently surpassed the previous high from October 8 of last year and has also broken through the 10-year high, indicating a strong performance in the past quarter [1][3] - Investors are questioning how to invest above 3700 points and whether the bull market has begun, reflecting a cautious sentiment in the market [1] Group 2 - The stock market's performance is influenced by multiple factors, including fundamentals, liquidity, policies, and market sentiment [3] - The GDP growth rate for the first half of the year reached 5.3%, with expectations for a slight decline in the second half, which has led some investors to doubt the market's fundamental support [3][4] - Despite a lower GDP growth expectation, the overall economic situation remains stable, with no significant external risks anticipated [4] Group 3 - The liquidity situation is improving, with margin trading balances steadily increasing and stock market transaction volumes returning to over 2 trillion [4] - The macro liquidity environment is generally loose, with expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could further support the market [5] - Policy measures are seen as neutral to slightly optimistic, with ongoing efforts in fiscal policy aimed at improving people's livelihoods [5][6] Group 4 - The market sentiment has improved significantly, driven by increased confidence in domestic capabilities, particularly in technology and defense sectors [6] - The current market trend is characterized as a "slow bull" market, suggesting a more stable and gradual upward movement rather than a rapid surge [6] - Investors are advised to consider technical indicators if they find it challenging to capture rapid changes in fundamentals, sentiment, liquidity, and policies [6] Group 5 - Asset allocation strategies are recommended to adopt a "core + satellite" approach, with a focus on technology and dividend sectors [8] - The 中证A500ETF is highlighted as a balanced product that may outperform the 沪深300 index in a bull market due to its exposure to emerging industries [8] - The communication ETF and semiconductor equipment ETF are also noted for their strong performance and potential for future growth [9][10] Group 6 - The military industry is expected to perform well historically around significant events such as military parades, indicating potential investment opportunities [10] - The consumer sector, particularly pharmaceuticals and food and beverage, is identified as a key area for investment, with specific funds recommended for consideration [10][11] - The bond market is experiencing a period of adjustment, with opportunities for investors to accumulate positions during this time [12]