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三生国健(688336):1H25稳健增长,关注707海外进展
HTSC· 2025-09-01 10:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [7][5]. Core Views - The company reported a steady growth in 1H25, with revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items reaching 640 million, 190 million, and 160 million RMB respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 8%, 47%, and 25% [1]. - The growth in revenue is primarily attributed to the contribution from the CDMO business and the recognition of some external licensing income, while profit growth is driven by a decrease in sales expenses following the expansion of centralized procurement [1]. - The company announced a mid-year distribution plan for 2025, proposing a dividend of 0.33 RMB per 10 shares (tax included), which accounts for 10.69% of the net profit attributable to shareholders during the same period [1]. - The report expresses optimism about the company's future, particularly with the upcoming launches of products 608, 610, 611, and 613, which are expected to further solidify its leading position in the self-immune sector [1]. - The collaboration with Pfizer on project 707 is anticipated to contribute to performance flexibility, with a distribution ratio of 30% for the company [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2Q25, the company achieved revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 330 million, 90 million, and 60 million RMB, reflecting year-on-year growth of 0%, 128%, and 58% respectively [1]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is projected at 294 million, 34 million, and 41 million RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 317%, -88%, and 20% respectively [5]. Product Pipeline - The report highlights the orderly advancement of four mid-to-late stage self-immune pipelines, with significant milestones expected in 2025, including NDA submissions and clinical trial initiations [3]. - Specific products mentioned include 608 (IL-17), 610 (IL-5), 611 (IL-4Rα), and 613 (IL-1β), with various stages of clinical trials and regulatory submissions anticipated in the second half of 2025 [3]. Collaboration and Market Opportunities - The report notes that Pfizer is expected to pay the upfront fee for project 707 within the year, which includes 1.25 billion USD for overseas rights and 150 million USD for domestic rights [4]. - The ongoing clinical plans for project 707 are considered important catalysts for the company's future stock price [4]. Valuation - The report maintains profit forecasts and assigns a reasonable valuation of 42 billion RMB to the company, with a target price of 68.09 RMB per share, up from a previous target of 48.64 RMB [5].