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北摩高科(002985):起落架业务有望放量 民航刹车制动产品迎国产化机遇
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 06:42
Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, but showed signs of recovery in Q1 2025, with expectations for growth in specific business segments [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 538 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 43.62%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 16.15 million yuan, down 92.57% year-on-year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 262 million yuan, an increase of 9.27% year-on-year, and a net profit of 53.8 million yuan, a decrease of 26.72% year-on-year [1]. - The company faced short-term performance pressure due to lower revenue, a higher proportion of lower-margin landing gear business, and slower payment collection influenced by industry factors, leading to a credit impairment loss of 131 million yuan in 2024 [1]. Group 2: Business Development - The company made significant progress in the research and delivery of various landing gear types, with expectations for continued revenue growth in 2025 [2]. - In 2024, a specific type of landing gear began batch production and delivery, and preparations for batch production of two other types are underway, with small batch deliveries expected in 2025 [2]. - The launch of a surface treatment production line for large aircraft landing gear is expected to enhance cost efficiency and support the research, production, and delivery of landing gear products [2]. Group 3: Market Trends - The company is positioned to benefit from the domestic substitution trend in civil aviation brake systems, as international suppliers dominate the market [3]. - The increase in domestic aircraft production capacity, particularly with the C919 program, is expected to enhance the company's opportunities in the civil aviation supply chain [3]. - Profit forecasts for the company indicate a net profit of 188 million yuan in 2025, 355 million yuan in 2026, and 461 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.57, 1.07, and 1.39 yuan [3].
北摩高科(002985):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:起落架业务有望放量,民航刹车制动产品迎国产化机遇
EBSCN· 2025-04-29 06:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a favorable outlook for investment over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue in 2024, with a total revenue of 538 million yuan, down 43.62% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 16 million yuan, down 92.57% [1][2]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 262 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.27%, and a net profit of 53.8 million yuan, although this was still a decline of 26.72% compared to the previous year [1][2]. - The company’s landing gear business is expected to ramp up, with significant revenue potential as various models reach important application milestones [3]. - The domestic aviation brake products are poised to benefit from the trend of localization and self-sufficiency in the aviation supply chain, particularly as domestic airlines face rising import costs [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company’s revenue from various segments included 163 million yuan from aircraft brake control systems, 210 million yuan from wheels, 65.83 million yuan from testing, and 83.62 million yuan from landing gear, with respective year-on-year changes of -60.60%, -35.98%, -65.80%, and +1766.18% [2]. - The gross margins for these segments were 56.08%, 63.46%, 64.90%, and 13.91% respectively, indicating a shift towards lower-margin products [2]. Business Development - The company has made progress in the research and delivery of multiple landing gear types, with expectations for continued revenue growth in 2025 [3]. - A new surface treatment production line for military and civilian large aircraft landing gear has been put into operation, which is expected to enhance cost efficiency and support production and delivery timelines [3]. Market Outlook - The report forecasts a recovery in net profit, projecting 188 million yuan in 2025, 355 million yuan in 2026, and 461 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS estimates of 0.57, 1.07, and 1.39 yuan [4][5]. - The company’s current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 47x for 2025, 25x for 2026, and 19x for 2027, suggesting potential for valuation improvement as earnings recover [4][5].