Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Eastern Airlines Logistics [3][7]. Core Views - Eastern Airlines Logistics is positioned as a leading player in the aviation logistics sector, benefiting from a robust resource base that creates competitive barriers. The company is expected to achieve significant long-term performance growth [6][30]. - The aviation logistics market is projected to continue growing, although short-term fluctuations may arise due to international trade policies [6][9]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is forecasted to reach CNY 24,544 million in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 2.0% [2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be CNY 2,120 million in 2025, reflecting a decline of 21.1% year-on-year [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected at CNY 1.34 for 2025, with a PE ratio of 10 [2]. - The company aims for a dividend payout ratio of 30%-50% of net profit, with expected dividend yields of 4.1% in 2025 [7][49]. Business Segments - **Aviation Express**: The company operates a dual model of all-cargo aircraft and passenger belly cargo, with a focus on enhancing operational efficiency and expanding its international route network [23][51]. - **Ground Comprehensive Services**: The company has established 17 self-operated cargo stations at key airports, achieving a market share of 51.9% in the Shanghai Hongqiao and Pudong areas [23][30]. - **Integrated Logistics Solutions**: The company is capitalizing on the growth of cross-border e-commerce, with revenue from this segment expected to increase significantly [9][30]. Market Dynamics - The aviation logistics market is anticipated to grow, driven by increasing demand for air freight services, although it may face short-term disruptions from trade policies [6][9]. - The supply side is expected to see a slight expansion in cargo aircraft capacity, while demand is projected to remain strong despite potential policy impacts [6][9]. Investment Analysis - The forecasted net profits for Eastern Airlines Logistics from 2025 to 2027 are CNY 21.20 billion, CNY 26.87 billion, and CNY 31.75 billion, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 9.9x, 7.8x, and 6.6x [7][8]. - The company is expected to have a 24% upside potential compared to industry averages, supported by its unique logistics assets and strategic capacity expansion [7][30].