1月9日，东航物流盘中下跌2.02%，截至13:01，报17.92元/股，成交1.70亿元，换手率1.00%，总市值 284.49亿元。 分红方面，东航物流A股上市后累计派现27.26亿元。近三年，累计派现16.30亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，东航物流十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第七大流 通股东，持股1008.50万股，相比上期减少697.74万股。南方中证500ETF（510500）位居第八大流通股 东，持股921.30万股，相比上期减少21.74万股。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资料显示，东方航空物流股份有限公司位于上海市长宁区空港六路199号，成立日期2004年8月23日，上 市日期2021年6月9日，公司主营业务涉及航空速运、地面综合服务和综合物流解决方案。主营业务收入 构成为：综合物流解决方案46.66%，航空速运41.77%，地面综合服务11.44%，其他0.14%。 东航物流所属申万行业为：交通运输-物流-跨境物流。所属概念板块包括：冷链物流、出海概念、低市 盈率、统一大市场、中盘等。 截至9月30日，东航物流股东户数3.95万，较上期减少26.75%；人均流通股239 ...

12月29日，东航物流盘中下跌2.01%，截至14:10，报18.07元/股，成交1.28亿元，换手率0.75%，总市值 286.87亿元。 截至9月30日，东航物流股东户数3.95万，较上期减少26.75%；人均流通股23935股，较上期增加 36.52%。2025年1月-9月，东航物流实现营业收入172.49亿元，同比减少2.40%；归母净利润20.01亿元， 同比减少3.19%。 分红方面，东航物流A股上市后累计派现27.26亿元。近三年，累计派现16.30亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，东航物流十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第七大流 通股东，持股1008.50万股，相比上期减少697.74万股。南方中证500ETF（510500）位居第八大流通股 东，持股921.30万股，相比上期减少21.74万股。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出450.43万元，特大单买入249.17万元，占比1.94%，卖出525.32万元，占 比4.10%；大单买入1655.84万元，占比12.91%，卖出1830.13万元，占比14.27%。 东航物流今年以来股价涨8.97%，近5 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Eastern Airlines Logistics has shown a positive stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 8.37% and a recent rise of 2.22% in intraday trading, reflecting strong market interest and investment activity [1] - As of December 18, the stock price is reported at 17.97 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 28.528 billion yuan and a trading volume of 1.07 billion yuan [1] - The company has experienced significant net inflows of capital, with a net inflow of 18.33 million yuan from major funds and a notable buying activity from large orders [1] Group 2 - Eastern Airlines Logistics operates in the transportation and logistics sector, specifically in cross-border logistics, and is involved in various concept sectors including the Belt and Road Initiative and overseas expansion [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, the company reported a revenue of 17.249 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.40%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.001 billion yuan, down 3.19% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 2.726 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.630 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]

摘要 东航物流 2025 年前三季度归母净利润 7.12 亿元，虽同比略降，但通过 调整航线网络、增加东南亚中转货量及扩充运力至 18 架全货机，有效 应对中美贸易摩擦，并开辟了越南河内、合肥至欧洲等新航线，支撑了 货量增长。 欧美市场方面，欧洲需求增长强劲，中国出口欧洲空运货量同比增长约 17%，三季度尤为显著。尽管美国关税政策带来挑战，但通过调整客户 结构、引入科技巨头合作及开通越南航线，美线货量保持稳定，表现优 于市场整体水平。 展望 2026 年，东航物流计划继续扩充运力，并预计中美经贸关系缓和 将减少美线波动。欧盟取消小额豁免政策的影响预计小于美国，中国企 业出海将推动空运市场需求稳健增长，公司对未来几年空运市场持谨慎 乐观态度。 新开通的重庆航点包括上海经香港至重庆，以及上海经重庆至法兰克福 两条航线，旨在利用重庆作为中西部枢纽的战略地位，符合国家向中西 部倾斜的政策导向，并优化欧洲货物的中转和集散。 Q&A 今年（2025 年）美国关税政策对东航物流的业绩有何影响？公司采取了哪些 应对措施？ 东航物流 20251209 今年（2025 年），美国取消了小额包裹豁免并加征普适关税，对中美之间的 经 ...

航空物流领先服务商，业绩稳健增长可期待 ——东航物流首次覆盖报告 物流 东航物流（601156.SH） 证券研究报告/公司深度报告 2025 年 11 月 25 日 | 评级： | 买入（首次） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：杜冲 | | 营业收入（百万元） | 20,621 | 24,056 | 25,371 | 28,099 | 30,501 | | | | 增长率 yoy% | -12% | 17% | 5% | 11% | 9% | | 执业证书编号：S0740522040001 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 2,488 | 2,688 | 2,629 | 2,810 | 3,115 | | Email：duchong@zts.com.cn | | 增长率 yoy% | -32% | 8% | -2% | 7% | 11% | | | | 每股收益（元） | 1.57 ...

Core Insights - Eastern Airlines Logistics experienced a decline of 1.39% in stock price on November 21, with a trading volume of 171 million yuan. The net financing purchase amounted to 40.69 million yuan, indicating strong investor interest despite the price drop [1] Financing Overview - On November 21, the financing buy amount for Eastern Airlines Logistics was 50.99 million yuan, while the financing repayment was 10.30 million yuan, resulting in a net financing purchase of 40.69 million yuan. The total financing and margin balance reached 1.18 billion yuan, which is 7.65% of the circulating market value, indicating a high level of financing activity [1] - The financing balance is above the 90th percentile of the past year, suggesting elevated investor engagement [1] Margin Trading Details - On the same day, Eastern Airlines Logistics had a margin repayment of 400 shares and a margin sale of 800 shares, with a total sale value of 13,000 yuan. The remaining margin balance was 93.62 million yuan, which is below the 10th percentile of the past year, indicating low short-selling activity [1] Company Profile - Eastern Airlines Logistics, established on August 23, 2004, and listed on June 9, 2021, is based in Changning District, Shanghai. The company specializes in air express, ground comprehensive services, and integrated logistics solutions. The revenue breakdown is as follows: integrated logistics solutions (46.66%), air express (41.77%), ground comprehensive services (11.44%), and others (0.14%) [1] Shareholder and Financial Performance - As of September 30, the number of shareholders for Eastern Airlines Logistics was 39,500, a decrease of 26.75% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per person increased by 36.52% to 23,935 shares [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, the company reported a revenue of 17.249 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.40%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.001 billion yuan, down 3.19% year-on-year [2] - Since its A-share listing, Eastern Airlines Logistics has distributed a total of 2.726 billion yuan in dividends, with 1.630 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [2] Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the seventh-largest circulating shareholder, holding 10.085 million shares, a decrease of 6.9774 million shares from the previous period. The Southern CSI 500 ETF ranked eighth, holding 9.213 million shares, down 217,400 shares [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 59.9 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year decline of 6.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.1 billion yuan, down 9.8% year-on-year. The decline in revenue was influenced by the cancellation of U.S. small package tariff policies, which led to a decrease in cross-border e-commerce cargo volume [2][4]. - Despite the revenue decline, the company's gross profit margin improved by 1.6 percentage points to 21.6% in Q3, indicating stable profitability. The company has been actively introducing cargo aircraft and optimizing operational routes, which contributed to this improvement [2][8]. - The report highlights that the company has passed stress tests, demonstrating resilience. With the improvement in China-U.S. trade relations, there are opportunities for recovery in general cargo demand, and freight rates are expected to have upward elasticity [2][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 172.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 20.0 billion yuan, down 3.2% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue was 59.9 billion yuan, and net profit was 7.1 billion yuan [4][6]. - The revenue breakdown for Q3 shows that air express services, ground comprehensive services, and comprehensive logistics solutions generated revenues of 27.9 billion yuan, 7.0 billion yuan, and 25.0 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +22.6%, +9.2%, and -27.9% [8]. Operational Insights - The average TAC price index decreased by approximately 6% year-on-year, and the average utilization rate of cargo aircraft fell by about 12%. However, the number of available cargo aircraft increased year-on-year, and the company adjusted its operational routes to enhance efficiency [8]. - The company faced increased financial expenses due to rising leasing debts from new aircraft acquisitions, and government subsidies decreased, impacting profits [8]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the net profit attributable to shareholders will be 26.5 billion yuan, 29.5 billion yuan, and 33.5 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 10.1, 9.0, and 8.0 times, respectively [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4] Core Views - The company demonstrated strong operational resilience despite a slight decline in revenue and profit due to the impact of the US-China tariff war. The revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 17.25 billion yuan, down 2.4% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2 billion yuan, down 3.2% year-on-year [1][2][3] - The company is adjusting its global route structure and exploring incremental demand to mitigate the negative impacts of tariff changes. The Shanghai Pudong export TAC price index fell approximately 6% year-on-year, but the decline is manageable [2][3] - The company’s gross margin improved to 21.6%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, although net profit was pressured by increased operating expenses and a significant drop in other income [3][11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.99 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 710 million yuan, down 9.8% year-on-year. The adjusted net profit was 690 million yuan, down 6.8% year-on-year [1][9] - The three main business segments showed varied performance: air express revenue grew by 22.6%, ground integrated services by 9.2%, while comprehensive logistics solutions fell by 27.9% due to the impact of the US policy changes on cross-border e-commerce [2][10] Profitability and Cost Management - The company’s gross profit margin increased, but net profit was affected by rising operating expenses, which increased by 1.6 percentage points to 3.75% [3][11] - Other income significantly decreased from 74.98 million yuan in the previous year to 5.48 million yuan in the current year, contributing to the decline in net profit [3][11] Future Outlook - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 2.64 billion yuan, 2.98 billion yuan, and 3.23 billion yuan respectively, with a notable adjustment of -25% and -28% for 2025 and 2026 [4][16] - The long-term investment value of the company remains significant, supported by its fleet of 18 B777 freighters and international routes, which are expected to sustain performance growth [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - Eastern Airlines Logistics has shown a slight increase in stock price recently, but overall performance in terms of revenue and profit has declined year-on-year [1][2]. Company Overview - Eastern Airlines Logistics, established on August 23, 2004, and listed on June 9, 2021, is based in Changning District, Shanghai. The company specializes in air express, ground comprehensive services, and integrated logistics solutions [1]. - The revenue composition of the company is as follows: Integrated logistics solutions 46.66%, air express 41.77%, ground comprehensive services 11.44%, and others 0.14% [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Eastern Airlines Logistics reported a revenue of 17.249 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.40%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.001 billion yuan, down 3.19% year-on-year [2]. - Since its A-share listing, the company has distributed a total of 2.726 billion yuan in dividends, with 1.630 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Eastern Airlines Logistics was 39,500, a decrease of 26.75% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person increased by 36.52% to 23,935 shares [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 10.085 million shares, which decreased by 6.9774 million shares compared to the previous period [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [5][12]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 17.2 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a decrease of 2.4% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.0 billion yuan, down 3.2% year-on-year [1]. - The decline in revenue for Q3 2025 was primarily due to a temporary decrease in fleet utilization, with an average utilization of 12.8 hours per aircraft, down 13.3% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company anticipates a rebound in both volume and pricing in Q4, driven by the traditional peak season for consumption in Europe and the U.S. [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 5.99 billion yuan, down 6.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 710 million yuan, down 9.8% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin improved despite the revenue decline, attributed to a decrease in other income related to subsidy recognition [1]. - The ground service business saw revenue growth of 9.2% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 43.7%, reflecting improved operational efficiency [3]. Market Dynamics - The impact of U.S. tariffs has shifted some revenue from comprehensive logistics solutions to air express services, with air express revenue increasing by 23% year-on-year [2]. - The company expects stable profits from ground services as new stations come online and operational costs are managed effectively [3]. Future Outlook - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 2.81 billion, 3.09 billion, and 3.45 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9x, 8x, and 7x [4][10]. - The anticipated seasonal price increases in Q4 are expected to significantly boost profitability compared to the previous year [3].