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国泰海通|建材:天助自助,景气重构——建材行业2026年年度策略
Group 1: Overall Industry Outlook - The construction materials industry maintains a "buy" rating, with a focus on independent growth highlights and valuation advantages under a cautious macroeconomic assumption [1] - Despite a temporary decline in total physical volume, leading companies in the construction materials sector have achieved revenue and profit growth through increased market share, overseas expansion, and material upgrades driven by AI, new energy, and aerospace industries [1] Group 2: Cement Industry Insights - The cement industry is expected to experience a decline in demand, with supply-demand optimization through overproduction governance, leading to regional improvements [2] - The outlook for cement prices remains low but stable, with potential for overseas growth due to a weaker dollar and slow supply expansion in Africa [2] Group 3: Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector shows significant strategic and financial report divergence, with independent growth expected in segments like waterproofing, coatings, and home hardware due to channel expansion and cost management [3] - Companies with resilient operations and attractive dividend yields are highlighted, particularly in gypsum boards, engineered wood, and piping, which have stable industry dynamics and solid profit levels [3] Group 4: Glass and Fiberglass Sector - The fiberglass industry is anticipated to show structural differentiation, with strong demand in wind power and exports, while high-end demand may alleviate low-end competition pressures [4] - The glass market is beginning to see signs of cold repair, indicating a potential bottoming out of profits, with a focus on leading float glass companies and those with differentiated processing capabilities [4]