水泥：年末全国市场逐步进入淡季，整体来看，全国需求仍呈现下滑态势，房建市场持续疲弱，基建需 求在政策驱动下呈现区域分化明显，民用市场相对需求刚性。从中期维度来看，水泥行业产能有望在限 制超产政策下产能持续下降，产能利用率从而大幅提升带来利润弹性。关注：海螺水泥(600585.SH)、 华新建材(600801.SH)。 玻璃：行业需求端在地产影响下25年呈现需求持续下行态势。短期来看，需求传统旺季订单改善力度一 般仍承压，中间商库存相对较高。目前行业供需矛盾仍存，下游终端需求改善有限。供给端，近期多条 产线在12月下旬冷修，但考虑到整体供需压力仍存，我们预计价格短期仍保持低位震荡。关注：旗滨集 团(601636.SH)。 玻纤：需求端，风电热塑等领域走货相对平稳，传统粗砂需求有所放缓，供给端，12月中国巨石桐乡3 线冷修完毕，重新点火。电子纱细分领域表现景气，行业受AI产业链需求景气驱动，行业低介电产品 迎来量价齐升，目前一代、二代、及三代(Q布)产品结构升级明确，行业需求有望伴随AI呈现爆发式增 长，看好行业需求持续的量价齐升趋势。关注：中国巨石、中材科技。 智通财经APP获悉，中邮证券发布研报称，上周电子纱 ...

证券研究报告：建筑材料|行业周报 行业相对指数表现 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《地产政策持续落地，关注建材龙头估 值修复机遇》 - 2026.01.05 建材行业报告 （2026.01.05-2026.01.11） 发布时间：2026-01-12 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 5560.36 | | 52 周最高 | 5560.36 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 电子纱 1 月价格提涨，后续仍存涨价预期 投资要点 上周电子纱价格提涨，中高端产品供需关系紧张，中高端产品货 紧价扬带动普通电子纱 G75 价格继续跟涨，截至 1 月最新价格，国内 G75 均价维持 9377 元/吨，环比上涨近 1%，同比涨幅达 11.31%，在 PCB 高端需求增长支撑下，预计后期价格仍有提涨预期。建议关注： 中国巨石、中材科技。 水泥：年末全国市场逐步进入淡季，整体来看，全国需求仍呈现 下滑态势，房建市场持续疲弱，基建需求在政策驱动下 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the building materials industry [1] Core Insights - The building materials industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with traditional materials weakening while high-demand electronic yarns support the resilience of fiberglass [1][3] - The industry is expected to see a recovery in 2025, driven by urban renewal strategies and a shift towards high-quality green materials [5][6] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The building materials sector is crucial for infrastructure and strategic emerging industries, with China leading in the production of various materials [6][7] - The industry is undergoing a transformation towards high-end, green, and digital solutions, supported by government initiatives [6][8] 2. Traditional Materials and Electronic Yarn - Cement demand remains weak, with high kiln shutdown rates and stable prices in December; a rebound is expected post-Spring Festival [10][14] - Fiberglass shows a mixed demand; traditional yarns face price stabilization while high-end electronic yarns continue to see price increases due to supply constraints [40][42] - Consumer building materials show slight improvement in retail sales, driven by year-end demand, but overall demand remains below previous years [38] 3. Market Dynamics - The building materials industry maintained a stable operation in December, with a business climate index of 102.9, indicating steady demand and production [9] - The industry is witnessing a gradual recovery in confidence, with a 3.66% increase in December, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [48][49] 4. Investment Recommendations - Cement companies like Huaxin Cement, Shangfeng Cement, and Conch Cement are recommended due to expected improvements in supply-demand dynamics and profitability [4] - For fiberglass, companies like China Jushi and China National Materials are highlighted for their strong positioning in high-demand segments [4] - Consumer building materials firms such as Oriental Yuhong and Beixin Building Materials are expected to benefit from urban renewal and quality upgrades [4]

Group 1 - The market in 2026 is expected to continue the operational logic from 2024, with fiscal and monetary policies remaining the main driving forces, providing significant support to the fundamentals [1] - Monetary policy is anticipated to have more operational space due to potential leadership changes at the Federal Reserve and the onset of a rate-cutting cycle for the dollar [1] - Fiscal policy is expected to focus on investment, shifting from traditional infrastructure to new infrastructure and hard technology sectors [1] Group 2 - Export performance is projected to exceed market expectations, supported by a relatively stable export environment compared to the first half of 2025, despite potential challenges in US-China trade negotiations [1] - The competitiveness of Chinese export products is highlighted, even amidst discussions of trade balance in Europe, indicating that exports will remain a crucial support for China's economic growth in 2026 [1] Group 3 - Since 2024, market sentiment has transitioned through three phases: extreme pessimism, expectation recovery, and reasonable valuation, with current optimism driven by policies encouraging stock buybacks and enhancing dividend requirements [2] - The market is expected to show a steady upward trend, gradually incorporating more positive expectations, transitioning from lagging to leading performance relative to fundamentals [2] - The company managing consumer-themed funds aims for a stable investment approach, focusing on high-quality stocks with valuation advantages and sustainable growth in various consumer sectors [2] Group 4 - In the gold jewelry industry, most retail enterprises are experiencing slow growth or even negative growth due to rising gold prices, while their valuations remain reasonable [3] - The gold mining sector is viewed as having strong long-term investment appeal compared to downstream retail enterprises [3] - In the optional consumption sector, companies in the downstream real estate chain, such as construction materials, have adjusted valuations to reasonable levels and maintain certain growth resilience, indicating good long-term investment value [3]

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials industry is expected to maintain high investment attractiveness in 2025 due to structural highlights, despite ongoing pressure from traditional domestic real estate and infrastructure sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Cement - Cement demand is under pressure, with a structural adjustment expected; by 2025, the demand distribution is projected to be 30% from real estate, 50% from infrastructure, and 20% from rural areas [3]. - The industry is anticipated to experience a gradual improvement in supply-demand balance as excess capacity is addressed and supply-side constraints are implemented [3]. Group 2: Glass Fiber - The glass fiber sector is poised for significant profit release in 2026, driven by demand from AI electronic cloth; the focus will be on high-end fabric price elasticity [4]. - The glass fiber industry has established a global pricing structure, with both domestic and international demand being crucial for growth [4]. Group 3: Glass - The glass sector is facing demand pressure and a slowdown in cold repair processes, with a net reduction of approximately 4000 tons per day expected by the end of 2025 [5]. - The industry is experiencing weak profitability, with over 60% of natural gas production lines expected to incur losses; however, there may be opportunities for supply-demand mismatches in 2026 [5]. Group 4: Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector has shown signs of stabilization since Q3 2025, with narrowing revenue declines and reduced price competition, indicating that the most challenging phase has passed [6]. - Despite ongoing pressures in new housing demand, the increase in second-hand housing and renovation projects is expected to provide strong support, creating structural opportunities [6].

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials and new materials industry is expected to maintain high investment attractiveness in 2025, despite continued pressure from traditional domestic demand in real estate and infrastructure [2]. Group 1: Cement Industry - Cement demand is projected to be under pressure, with structural adjustments expected. The anticipated demand distribution for 2025 is 30% from real estate, 50% from infrastructure, and 20% from rural areas [2][3]. - The industry is expected to experience a low point around April-May 2024, with a gradual improvement in supply-demand relationships as supply exits in an orderly manner [2][3]. Group 2: Glass Fiber Industry - The glass fiber sector is expected to benefit from the release of profits in AI electronic cloth by 2026, with a focus on high-end fabric price elasticity [3]. - The industry has undergone domestic substitution, establishing China as a global supplier, making both domestic and international demand crucial [3]. Group 3: Glass Industry - The glass sector is facing demand pressure and a slowdown in cold repairs, with a net reduction of approximately 4,000 tons per day as of December 21, 2025, which is a deceleration compared to 2024 [4]. - The overall glass prices are under pressure due to weak downstream demand, with a projected decline in construction completions by 18% year-on-year from January to November 2025 [4]. Group 4: Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector has shown signs of stabilization since Q3 2025, with narrowing revenue declines and reduced price competition, indicating that the most challenging phase has passed [5]. - Despite ongoing pressures in new housing demand, the release of second-hand housing and renovation projects is expected to provide strong support, leading to structural opportunities [5].

证券研究报告：建筑材料|行业周报 行业相对指数表现 -10% -7% -4% -1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 17% 20% 2024-12 2025-03 2025-05 2025-08 2025-10 2025-12 建筑材料 沪深300 发布时间：2025-12-29 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 5449.43 | | 52 周最高 | 5449.43 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《关注内需低位品种，有望迎来估值与 业绩双重修复》 - 2025.12.22 建材行业报告 （2025.12.22-2025.12.26） 地产政策托底需求，关注反内卷落地情况 投资要点 12 月 24 日，北京市住房城乡建设委、市发展改革委、人民银行 北京市分行、北京住房公积金管理中心等 4 部门联合印发《关于进一 步优化调整本市房地产相关政策的通知》，放宽非 ...

Group 1 - The report emphasizes three main investment themes in the building materials industry: the stock chain, the Africa chain, and the AI chain. The stock chain focuses on optimizing demand and clearing supply varieties, with a significant shift in consumer demand expected as renovation needs rise to nearly 70% by 2030 [4][7][26] - The Africa chain highlights the undervalued potential of leading companies in the African market, benefiting from population growth and urbanization, with a projected threefold market expansion for cement [9][10] - The AI chain anticipates an upgrade in the special electronic cloth industry, driven by the transition from Low-Dk to higher-grade products, indicating substantial domestic replacement opportunities due to supply shortages [10][10] Group 2 - The stock chain indicates that the renovation demand is currently around 50% and is expected to reach nearly 70% by 2030, which will drive the industry back to historical demand levels [7][26][28] - The report notes that the supply of consumer building materials is expected to exit significantly, with production levels for various materials projected to be at 90% to 62% of their peak by 2024 [7][37] - The report identifies companies like Huaxin Cement and West Cement as key players in the African market, which is expected to see high demand due to ongoing urbanization and infrastructure development [9][10] Group 3 - The report suggests that the renovation market could reach 20 billion square meters annually, driven by a shorter renovation cycle and an increase in the aging housing stock [28][31] - The report highlights that leading companies in the consumer building materials sector are expected to show revenue and profit resilience, with some companies already demonstrating growth despite industry downturns [8][41] - The report indicates that the waterproof and coating sectors are under significant pressure, with the waterproof materials market expected to see a notable decline in production by 2024 [45][58]

Core Viewpoint - HuLong Securities maintains a "recommended" rating for the building materials industry, suggesting two main lines of focus: "anti-involution" policies that may alleviate overcapacity issues and the demand for high-end fiberglass products that could enhance industry profitability [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - From January 2 to December 23, 2025, the Shenwan Building Materials Index increased by 20.8%, ranking 11th among all Shenwan sectors, while the CSI 300 Index rose by 17.43%. The fiberglass sector performed exceptionally well, with a growth rate of 90.37% during the same period [2] - The supply-side "anti-involution" policies are expected to alleviate overcapacity in the cement industry, improving the supply-demand balance and enhancing profitability for leading companies such as Anhui Conch Cement (600585.SH), Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ), and Huaxin Cement (600801.SH) [3] Group 2: Specific Material Insights - In the float glass sector, there are no significant improvements expected on the demand side, but supply-side "anti-involution" policies may lead to a reduction in capacity. The industry is currently in a phase of high inventory and low prices, with potential for improvement in supply-demand dynamics. Attention is recommended for Qibin Group (601636.SH) [4] - The photovoltaic glass industry is still facing overcapacity, but the implementation of "anti-involution" policies may improve the supply-demand situation. Leading companies with cost advantages are likely to benefit first, with a recommendation to focus on Fuyao Glass (601865.SH) [5] - In the consumer building materials sector, the increasing proportion of aging housing is expected to drive demand for renovation, positively impacting related consumer building materials. Recommended companies include Sankeshu (603737.SH), Beixin Building Materials (000786.SZ), Dongfang Yuhong (002271.SZ), Weixing New Materials (002372.SZ), and Jianlang Hardware (002791.SZ) [6] - The fiberglass sector is expected to avoid redundant capacity and fierce price competition due to ongoing "anti-involution" policies. The demand for mid-to-high-end fiberglass products, such as wind power yarn and electronic yarn, is on the rise, which may enhance industry profitability. Companies with a high sales proportion of mid-to-high-end products, such as China Jushi (600176.SH), China National Materials (002080.SZ), and Honghe Technology (603256.SH), are recommended for attention [7]

中金研究 展望2026年，我们以需求作为推演行业格局和企业竞争策略的出发点，辅以考虑当前盈利、龙头多业态发展成效，推荐顺序 ： 玻纤、消费 建材、玻璃、水泥 。 我们推荐以下三 条主线：①景气度延续，龙头维系固有优势，保持量、价稳中有增的板块，如玻纤（包括特种电子 布）、非洲建材；②需求有存量重装和多元化加持，能部分对冲新建需求下行风险，依托温和价格策略释放盈利压力的板块，如消费建 材；③需求偏向同质化且仍面临压力，但靠产能收缩或"反内卷"政策推动供给出清的大宗品，如浮法玻璃、水泥。 玻纤：结构升级拉开盈利差距，特种布延续高景气。 我们预期2026年粗纱行业净增产量40-50万吨，或维系良好的供需格局，高端粗纱如风电 有望迎接年度提价；普通粗纱和电子布或阶段性提价（关注3-4月、8-9月）。AI特种布我们判断二代布量价齐增的空间更大，其次看好低膨胀 纱和石英布。 消费建材：大浪淘沙，关注胜者盈利修复。 由于2026年新开工（同比-16%）、竣工（同比-7%）未见底，叠加小B需求待资金发力，需求仍直 面压力。但行业沉寂已久，积极信号渐近，包括①防水/涂料/石膏板迎来阶段性提价；②费用率或继续压降；③减值风险边际 ...