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苯乙烯:宏观利好盘面有所反复 但高估值问题或突出
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-03 02:08
Group 1: Styrene Market Overview - The styrene market in East China experienced slight fluctuations, closing at 7530-7560 CNY/ton, with July contracts at 7500-7550 CNY/ton, August contracts at 7380-7420 CNY/ton, and September contracts at 7300-7330 CNY/ton [1] - The pure benzene market saw a decline followed by a low-level rebound, with Jiangsu port spot negotiations closing at 5810/5820 CNY/ton, July contracts at 5860/5865 CNY/ton, August contracts at 5900/5910 CNY/ton, and September contracts at 5915/5925 CNY/ton [2] Group 2: Supply and Inventory Analysis - As of June 26, pure benzene capacity utilization was at 78.01%, with a weekly production of 432,600 tons. The inventory of pure benzene at Jiangsu ports was 177,000 tons, an increase of 6,000 tons from the previous period, and a year-on-year increase of 743% from 21,000 tons [3] - Styrene production was reported at 366,800 tons with a capacity utilization of 80.08%. The inventory of styrene at Jiangsu ports was 98,800 tons, an increase of 13,800 tons, while the main inventory in South China was 15,000 tons, a decrease of 3,000 tons [3] Group 3: Market Outlook - The pure benzene market is expected to continue its low-level rebound due to supply recovery and new installations, although the processing margin for benzene to styrene has widened to 1400 CNY/ton [4] - The styrene market is stabilizing, with strong basis prices as the end of the month approaches, but high-priced purchases from downstream are limited. The mid-term outlook suggests that tariffs and national subsidies may not significantly drive terminal demand, and the high profits in styrene production may lead to continued supply pressure [4]
苯乙烯:短期能源扰动盘面震荡反复 关注中期矛盾
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-18 02:01
【苯乙烯现货】 华东市场苯乙烯市场走势回落,至收盘现货7760-7820,6月下7760-7820(07合约+310~330),7月下 7590-7640(07合约+130~135),8月下7510-7550(08合约+140),单位:元/吨。 苯乙烯供应:截至6月12日,苯乙烯工厂整体产量在33.81万吨,较上期增0.7万吨,环比+2.11%;工厂 产能利用率73.81%,环比+1.52%。 【纯苯现货】 纯苯市场价格继续高位下跌,截至收盘江苏港口6月下商谈6250/6260元/吨,7月下商谈6290/6300元/ 吨,8月下商谈6285/6300元/吨。。 【苯乙烯链供需、库存】 纯苯供应:截至6月12日,纯苯产能利用率在79.4%,环比+2.25个百分点;周产量43.78万吨。 纯苯库存:截至6月16日,江苏纯苯港口样本库存15.3万吨,较上期库存14.9万吨累库0.4万吨,环比增 加2.68%;较去年同期库存1.85万吨上升11.15万吨,同比上升707.03%。 纯苯市场价格继续高位下跌。隔夜原油高开低走,日内原油及石脑油震荡,纯苯市场主要围绕中东局 势、原油价格走势交易,市场低买高卖快速交易为主。 ...