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Industry Overview - The main listed companies in the maternal and infant industry include Kidswant (301078), Runben (603193), Aiyingshi (603214), Mengjie (002397), Jinfalabi (002762), Beiyinmei (002570), Keka (301009), China Feihe (06186.HK), Babytree Group (01761.HK), Goodbaby International (01086.HK), and Newman (02530.HK) [1] - The development history of China's maternal and infant industry can be divided into several stages: Exploration Period (1990s), Development Period (2000-2010), Explosion Period (2011-2018), and Integration Period (2019-present) [1][2] Development Stages - Exploration Period (1990s): Introduction of foreign parenting culture and products, with limited specialized maternal and infant stores [1] - Development Period (2000-2010): Increased acceptance of maternal and infant products, emergence of regional chain markets, and the rise of online maternal and infant communities [1] - Explosion Period (2011-2018): Rapid growth of online maternal and infant platforms and the establishment of offline stores as the primary consumption channel [1] - Integration Period (2019-present): Growth of private traffic through social media and the need for a "online + offline" shopping experience to maintain competitive advantage [2] Global Trends - The global maternal and infant industry began to flourish in the 1950s-60s, with significant growth in countries like Japan and the USA, leading to the emergence of chain brands [3] - By 1990, the maternal and infant market in developed countries matured, prompting international brands to enter markets like China, where domestic brands also began to rise [3] - The future of maternal and infant products will see increased diversification and innovation in sales channels and models to meet modern consumer demands [3] Market Share Insights - According to Grand View Research, baby cosmetics and toiletries account for 33.5% of the global baby products market, driven by the importance of hygiene and convenience for parents [7] - Baby food holds a 25.3% market share, with demand driven by urbanization, busy work schedules, and increasing parental focus on nutrition [7] Demographic Trends - The number of women of childbearing age in China is on a declining trend, decreasing from 380 million in 2011 to 310 million in 2022, with projections indicating a further decline by 2025 [9][10]

如何看待零食量贩行业的变化与机遇？20250512 摘要 • 零食量贩行业经历了三个发展阶段：2010-2019 年为模式探索期，2020- 2022 年为模式革新期，供应链和门店标准化及全国扩张是关键，2023 年 至今为快速开店和收并购整合期，以零食很忙和万辰集团为代表。 • 零食量贩业态相较传统零售业，毛利率和费用率较低，但周转效率高，与 上游合作关系平等，账期短，如万辰控股存货周转天数在 10-20 天，应付 账款周转期也较短，这些特点使其能更好地管理账期，与品牌方建立长期 合作。 • 行业开店空间预计为 7-8 万家门店，目前已逐步验证，单店收入维持稳定， 加盟商投资回报期未因门店密度增加而显著延长，表明该预测仍具参考价 值，未来市场潜力巨大。 • 鸣鸣很忙集团是中国最大的休闲食品饮料零售商，通过快速扩张，截至 2024 年底门店数量超过 14,000 家，成为连锁加盟业态中开店增速最快 的公司，募资主要用于提升供应链能力、升级门店类型和扩充品类。 • 零食量贩行业正从单一品类向全品类折扣超市演变，以提高单店收入及消 费者粘性，如三只松鼠推出爱折扣、万辰试点来优品全品类折扣超市，都 显示出这一趋势。 ...