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英大证券晨会纪要-20251211
British Securities· 2025-12-11 03:22
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced volatility with a "V-shaped" reversal on Wednesday, driven by a surge in a leading real estate company's stock, which boosted market sentiment [2][10] - The current market is characterized by technical resistance above and policy support below, indicating a likely path of repeated fluctuations and potential upward movement [2][10] - Recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows a 0.7% year-on-year increase in CPI for November, suggesting marginal improvement in domestic demand [2][10] Sector Analysis Precious Metals - The precious metals sector saw significant gains, attributed to factors such as the onset of a Fed rate cut cycle, increased geopolitical tensions, and strong demand from global central banks [6] - The weakening dollar and inflation concerns have led investors to view gold as a hedge against inflation, with rising demand for gold in technology applications further supporting this trend [6] Hainan Free Trade Zone - Stocks related to the Hainan Free Trade Zone were notably active, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up. The upcoming full island closure operation on December 18 is expected to enhance market activity [7] - The new policies will allow for freer movement of goods within Hainan while maintaining controlled access from the mainland, which is anticipated to benefit related stocks [7] Real Estate - The real estate sector experienced a rebound, driven by the upcoming discussion on debt restructuring for a leading real estate company and ongoing supportive policies from the government [8] - The industry is expected to see a gradual alleviation of risks, with a focus on high-quality companies that have strong land reserves and are returning to stable growth [8] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on low-entry opportunities across various sectors, including technology growth (semiconductors, AI themes, robotics), cyclical industries (solar, batteries, chemicals), and dividend stocks (banks, utilities) [3][10] - It is recommended to select stocks with strong earnings support while avoiding high-valuation stocks lacking performance backing [3][10]