衰退交易预期
Search documents
分钟级别底部结构,能否给A股带来不错的反弹?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 12:54
Group 1 - The recent strengthening of the US dollar index has reached the key level of 100, impacting global markets significantly [1][6] - Global markets, including A-shares, are experiencing adjustments, indicating a broader market trend [2][7] - The US financial market's short-term interest rates are rising despite the Federal Reserve's recent rate cuts, suggesting tightening liquidity in the market [4][6] Group 2 - The current strong dollar is partly due to the depreciation of the Japanese yen and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials [6][7] - The US government shutdown has led to a situation where tax revenues are collected but not disbursed, contributing to liquidity issues [7] - Recent PMI data from the US indicates a contraction at 48.7, which is below market expectations, raising concerns about potential recession [7][8] Group 3 - A-shares are reflecting the performance of US stocks, particularly in sectors like electricity and photovoltaic power, which may face challenges due to external market conditions [7][8] - The trading volume in the A-share market has decreased significantly, falling below 2 trillion, indicating reduced market activity [7] - The market's response to external pressures suggests a cautious approach, with a focus on potential future developments [8]