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永辉超市(601933):改革处于阵痛期,等待拐点到来
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-08-21 08:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yonghui Supermarket (601933.SH) [1] Core Views - The company is undergoing a painful reform period, with expectations for a turning point to come [1] - Revenue for H1 2025 was 29.95 billion RMB, a year-on-year decline of 20.73%, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of 240 million RMB, an increase in loss of 516 million RMB compared to the same period last year [1][2] - The decline in revenue is primarily due to store closures and the adjustment of stores, with a significant number of long-term loss-making stores being shut down [2][3] Summary by Sections Performance Analysis - The overall sales scale has decreased, and the company is experiencing short-term gross margin decline due to supply chain reforms [2] - The gross margin for the reporting period was 20.80%, down 0.78% year-on-year [2] - The company closed 227 loss-making stores during the reporting period, incurring costs related to leasing, personnel compensation, and asset write-offs [2] Operational Strategy - The company is accelerating its supply chain reform, having signed contracts for bare procurement with 2,860 standard product suppliers and reducing the number of suppliers by approximately 50% [2] - The fresh food segment has increased the proportion of source procurement to over 60% [2] - The self-operated sales ratio in the cooked food processing segment increased from 40.2% to 78.1% [2] Store Opening and Closing - The company opened 93 adjusted stores in H1 2025, with a total of 124 adjusted stores by the end of June 2025 [3] - The total number of stores decreased to 552, with adjusted stores accounting for 22% [3] - It is expected that by the end of the year, adjusted stores will account for over 50%, potentially leading to a performance turning point [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 56.939 billion RMB, 97.996 billion RMB, and 111.198 billion RMB, with year-on-year changes of -15.74%, +72.11%, and +13.47% respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be -426 million RMB, 1.291 billion RMB, and 1.805 billion RMB for the same period, with a significant recovery expected in 2026 [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of N/A for 2025, 35x for 2026, and 25x for 2027 [4]
永辉超市(601933):调改加速 弹性可期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
调改后加工熟食占比提升,毛利率因为供应链改革有所承压。分业务,2024 年食品用品/生鲜及加工/其 他/租赁收入分别收入349.43/288.25/26.73/11.33 亿元,同比-14.03%/-12.82%/-28.08%/-6.77%,食品用品/ 生鲜及加工/其他/租赁收入毛利率分别为18.81%/12.79%/99.96%/78.66%,同 比-0.08pct/-0.37pct/+0.70pct/-2.20pct未来随着供应链持续优化+品质商品占比提升,公司毛利率有望恢 复。 费用边际有所提升,调改进入稳定期后有望下降。公司2024 年毛利率为20.46%,同比-0.78pct,销售/管 理/研发/财务费用分别占比19.33%/2.65%/0.27%/1.68%,同比+0.66pct/+0.25pct/-0.13pct/+0.00pct;公司 2025Q1 销售/管理/研发/财务费用分别占比16.63%/2.45%/0.24%/1.46%,同比 +1.04pct/+0.43pct/-0.10pct/+0.01pct 公司2024 年实现营业收入675.74 亿元,同比-14.07%,实现归母净利润- ...