Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yonghui Supermarket (601933.SH) [1] Core Views - The company is undergoing a painful reform period, with expectations for a turning point to come [1] - Revenue for H1 2025 was 29.95 billion RMB, a year-on-year decline of 20.73%, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of 240 million RMB, an increase in loss of 516 million RMB compared to the same period last year [1][2] - The decline in revenue is primarily due to store closures and the adjustment of stores, with a significant number of long-term loss-making stores being shut down [2][3] Summary by Sections Performance Analysis - The overall sales scale has decreased, and the company is experiencing short-term gross margin decline due to supply chain reforms [2] - The gross margin for the reporting period was 20.80%, down 0.78% year-on-year [2] - The company closed 227 loss-making stores during the reporting period, incurring costs related to leasing, personnel compensation, and asset write-offs [2] Operational Strategy - The company is accelerating its supply chain reform, having signed contracts for bare procurement with 2,860 standard product suppliers and reducing the number of suppliers by approximately 50% [2] - The fresh food segment has increased the proportion of source procurement to over 60% [2] - The self-operated sales ratio in the cooked food processing segment increased from 40.2% to 78.1% [2] Store Opening and Closing - The company opened 93 adjusted stores in H1 2025, with a total of 124 adjusted stores by the end of June 2025 [3] - The total number of stores decreased to 552, with adjusted stores accounting for 22% [3] - It is expected that by the end of the year, adjusted stores will account for over 50%, potentially leading to a performance turning point [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 56.939 billion RMB, 97.996 billion RMB, and 111.198 billion RMB, with year-on-year changes of -15.74%, +72.11%, and +13.47% respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be -426 million RMB, 1.291 billion RMB, and 1.805 billion RMB for the same period, with a significant recovery expected in 2026 [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of N/A for 2025, 35x for 2026, and 25x for 2027 [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, with a revenue of 67.574 billion yuan, down 14.07% year-on-year, and a net profit of -1.465 billion yuan, indicating challenges in store performance and profitability [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 67.574 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.07% year-on-year, and a net profit of -1.465 billion yuan, with a non-recurring net profit of -2.410 billion yuan, resulting in a non-recurring net profit margin of 0.08%, down 1.05 percentage points year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 17.479 billion yuan, down 19.32% year-on-year, with a net profit of 0.148 billion yuan, a decline of 79.96%, and a non-recurring net profit of 0.137 billion yuan, down 77.07%, leading to a non-recurring net profit margin of 2.76%, down 1.98 percentage points year-on-year [1] Store Operations - The revenue fluctuations are primarily attributed to a reduction in the number of stores, with 232 stores closed in 2024, leaving a total of 775 stores by the end of the year [1] - As of Q1 2025, the company continued to reduce its store count, completing only 47 store renovations, which contributed minimally to sales [1] - However, the renovated stores have begun to show profitability, with 41 stores that have been open for over three months generating a profit of 14.7 million yuan in March and a total profit of 74.72 million yuan for the quarter [1] Business Segments - The company reported revenue from various segments in 2024: food and daily necessities at 34.943 billion yuan, fresh and processed food at 28.825 billion yuan, other income at 2.673 billion yuan, and rental income at 1.133 billion yuan, with respective year-on-year declines of 14.03%, 12.82%, 28.08%, and 6.77% [2] - The gross margins for these segments were 18.81%, 12.79%, 99.96%, and 78.66%, with slight year-on-year changes [2] Cost Management - The overall gross margin for the company in 2024 was 20.46%, down 0.78 percentage points year-on-year, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expenses accounting for 19.33%, 2.65%, 0.27%, and 1.68% respectively, showing an increase in expense ratios [2] - In Q1 2025, the expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs were 16.63%, 2.45%, 0.24%, and 1.46%, indicating a mixed trend in cost management [2] Strategic Focus - The company is shifting towards quality retail and restructuring supplier relationships, focusing on core suppliers, key products, and long-term strategies while opposing frequent supplier changes [2] - As of April 2025, the company has engaged in procurement discussions with over 300 quality supply chain enterprises, including suppliers for major U.S. retailers [2] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to see continuous improvement in store efficiency as it enters a deeper phase of transformation, with projected revenues of 61.483 billion yuan, 92.247 billion yuan, and 108 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a year-on-year change of -9.01%, +50.04%, and +17.08% respectively [3] - The projected net profits for the same period are 0.63 billion yuan, 1.105 billion yuan, and 1.819 billion yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 790X, 45X, and 27X [3]