Core Insights - The article highlights the steady recovery in public budget revenue in China for the first ten months of 2025, with a notable increase in tax revenue and a slower growth rate in fiscal expenditure, while maintaining high growth in social welfare-related spending [1][2]. Revenue Performance - In the first ten months, the national general public budget revenue reached 18.65 trillion yuan, growing by 0.8%, which is an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to the first nine months [1]. - Tax revenue accounted for 15.34 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 1.7%, up by 1 percentage point from the previous nine months [1]. - Non-tax revenue decreased by 3.1% to 3.31 trillion yuan [1]. - Major tax categories showed growth: domestic VAT increased by 4%, domestic consumption tax by 2.4%, corporate income tax by 1.9%, and personal income tax by 11.5%, with respective increases of 0.4, 0.2, 1.1, and 1.8 percentage points compared to the previous nine months [2]. Capital Market Influence - The recovery in the capital market has significantly boosted tax revenue, particularly in the securities transaction stamp duty, which reached 162.9 billion yuan, reflecting an 88.1% year-on-year increase [3]. - The active capital market has positively impacted personal income tax and corporate income tax, with corporate income tax showing positive growth for the first time in eight months, driven by improved industrial profits [3]. Sector Performance - Tax revenue from key industries performed well: computer and communication equipment manufacturing grew by 12.7%, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing by 7.9%, scientific research and technical services by 14.8%, and cultural, sports, and entertainment sectors by 5.7% [4]. Fiscal Expenditure Trends - General public budget expenditure for the first ten months grew by 2%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points from the previous nine months, but spending in key areas like social security, education, and health remained strong [5]. - Notably, infrastructure-related spending in agriculture, forestry, and water management saw a decline of 9%, although the rate of decline narrowed by 2.1 percentage points compared to the previous nine months [5]. - Government fund budget revenue was 3.45 trillion yuan, down by 2.8%, while expenditure increased by 15.4% to 8.09 trillion yuan, driven by accelerated use of bond funds [5]. Future Outlook - The introduction of new policy financial tools is expected to support infrastructure investment in the fourth quarter and early next year, with a focus on improving fiscal infrastructure spending [6].