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全球央行行长齐聚 一个关键问题悬而未决!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-06-30 10:58
Group 1 - Central bank leaders are gathering in Sintra, Portugal, to discuss the potential decline of the dollar-centric monetary system amid global trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts [1] - The discussion will focus on how to formulate monetary policy in an uncertain environment, particularly in light of President Trump's protectionist policies [1] - Investors are looking for insights from the upcoming forum, especially from key figures like Fed Chair Powell and ECB President Lagarde [1] Group 2 - Any signs of threats to the independence of the Federal Reserve could undermine the dollar's status as the preferred currency for global trade, savings, and investment [2] - Concerns about potential successors to Powell who may align more closely with Trump's wishes could further shake market confidence [2] - The dollar has recently fallen to a near four-year low against the euro, trading at 1.17 [2] Group 3 - ECB President Lagarde is in a unique position to promote the euro as a stable alternative amid the dollar's challenges, marking a potential "euro moment" [3] - Despite previous pessimism about the euro, economists stress that the EU must deepen integration in finance, economy, and military to elevate the euro's global standing [3] - A recent OMFIF survey indicates that 16% of central banks plan to increase their euro holdings in the next 12-24 months, although demand remains lower than for gold [3] Group 4 - The Bank of Japan is becoming increasingly cautious about interest rate hikes due to expectations surrounding U.S. tariffs [4] - The Bank of Korea may be forced to end its easing cycle due to a sudden rise in the real estate market [4] - The Bank of England is assessing whether signs of a slowing labor market can alleviate inflationary pressures from rapid wage growth [4]