资产全面泡沫化
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洪灏:市场对产业革命有新预期,期待科技、人工智能更大投资机会
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 05:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the current investment landscape, particularly in technology stocks and artificial intelligence, presents significant opportunities despite concerns of potential bubble formation [1][2] - The earnings growth of major US tech companies, such as Nvidia and Apple, indicates that investments in AI are yielding positive results, with some companies experiencing a decline in valuation despite stock price increases [1] - The transition between old and new technologies is expected to create a scenario where stock prices rise initially, but must be validated by subsequent earnings growth, which is already evident in recent financial reports [1] Group 2 - Chinese technology companies are beginning to show progress, with Alibaba making strides in areas like chips and large models, although they still face significant challenges due to technological constraints [2] - The US dollar has depreciated approximately 10% this year, reflecting underlying fiscal and structural issues in the US economy, while A-shares have decoupled from US long-term bond yields and are leading global market performance [2] - The potential for asset bubble formation is a major uncertainty for investors, affecting both US AI-related companies and the Chinese market, where new trends and valuations are difficult to interpret [2] - The unpredictability of former President Trump's actions is highlighted as a significant investment theme, suggesting that his behavior could impact market dynamics [2]