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低利率时代资产配置攻略:国信资配体系概览
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-24 12:50
Group 1 - The report highlights that the global asset allocation framework is entering a new era of reconstruction due to factors such as aging population, de-globalization, and rising risk aversion, which keep interest rates at low levels and limit the supply of safe assets [3][6] - It emphasizes the importance of balancing the pursuit of returns and the need for safety in asset allocation, especially in a low-interest-rate environment [3][6] - The report outlines three main strategies for navigating the low-interest-rate era: expanding asset allocation from local to global, shifting focus from narrow high-dividend stocks to broader cash cows, and localizing all-weather strategies [3][13][18] Group 2 - The report discusses the challenges faced by the traditional "60/40" asset allocation strategy, which is being reshaped by three core drivers: irreversible aging population, fragmented geopolitical landscape, and heightened risk aversion due to "black swan" events [6][9] - It introduces a nested cycle approach where long cycles set direction, mid-cycles select sectors, and short cycles identify entry points, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive view to avoid getting lost in short-term volatility [9][10] - The report suggests that in the low-interest-rate environment, investors are forced to pursue higher Sharpe ratio assets, leading to the increasing value of FOF (Fund of Funds) assets, which can enhance returns of traditional stock-bond portfolios [10][15] Group 3 - The report identifies the first countermeasure in the low-interest-rate era as expanding asset allocation from local to global, noting that different countries have varying asset distribution preferences [13][17] - The second countermeasure involves transitioning from a narrow focus on high-dividend stocks to a broader view of cash cows, emphasizing the importance of cash flow certainty behind dividend yields [15][18] - The third countermeasure is the localization of all-weather strategies, which do not rely on precise predictions of future growth and inflation, thus providing a balanced approach in an uncertain macro environment [18][20]
收益率达8.1% 2024年全国社保基金取得较好投资业绩
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-09-29 23:34
Core Insights - The National Social Security Fund achieved an investment income of 218.418 billion yuan with an investment return rate of 8.1% for the year 2024, indicating strong investment performance [1] - The total assets of the National Social Security Fund reached 3,322.462 billion yuan, with total fund equity amounting to 2,912.802 billion yuan by the end of 2024 [1] - Since its establishment, the fund has maintained an average annual investment return rate of 7.39%, accumulating a total investment income of 1,900.998 billion yuan [1] Investment Strategy - The National Social Security Fund Council emphasizes a long-term, value-oriented, and responsible investment philosophy, conducting investment operations prudently and steadily [2] - The council has developed a comprehensive asset allocation system that includes strategic asset allocation, tactical asset allocation, and asset rebalancing through years of exploration and practice [2]