21世纪经济报道记者 边万莉 11月22日，为凝聚行业智慧、探寻发展新路径，由南方财经全媒体集团指导、21世纪经济报道主办 的"第二十届21世纪金融年会"在北京盛大召开。 在"财富管理的低利率之问"主题论坛上，21世纪数字传媒党委委员，南方财经全媒体集团编委会委员、上海中心主任王芳艳发 表致辞表示，当前，低利率环境的持续演进，正从根本上改变着财富管理行业的发展逻辑与前行方向。从宏观视角来看，我国 财富管理市场已具备相当规模，虽整体保持增长态势，但低利率带来的影响已渗透行业肌理。面对低利率的时代考题，财富管 理行业正经历一场深刻变革。 王芳艳进一步表示，转型之路从不平坦，行业在拥抱变革的同时，也正面临多重压力的考验。尽管挑战重重，但我们对行业未 来依然充满信心。归根结底，未来财富管理行业的竞争，核心是"投研实力+服务体验+技术支撑"的综合比拼。这要求我们所有 从业者，必须始终坚守"以客户为中心"的初心，用专业与诚信赢得客户的长期信任。 转型之路从不平坦，行业在拥抱变革的同时，也正面临多重压力的考验。尽管挑战重重，但我们对行业未来依然充满信心。归 根结底，未来财富管理行业的竞争，核心是"投研实力+服务体验+技术支 ...

Core Insights - The banking wealth management sector in China has reached a record scale of 32.13 trillion yuan by the end of Q3 2025, indicating a positive trend in the industry as it undergoes regulatory transformation [1] - The low interest rate environment presents both opportunities and challenges for wealth management products, particularly for individual investors who traditionally rely on savings [2][3] - The expansion of pension wealth management products nationwide offers a significant opportunity for joint venture wealth management companies to leverage their unique advantages [5][6] Group 1: Opportunities in Wealth Management - The decline in bond market yields since 2025 is prompting individual investors to seek higher returns through asset management products, positioning bank wealth management as a preferred choice for conservative investors [2] - Wealth management companies can utilize various stable investment tools and product structures to enhance returns, potentially leading to rapid growth in industry scale [1][2] Group 2: Challenges in Wealth Management - Clients' expectations for stable returns may be disrupted by fluctuations in net value and actual returns, necessitating a focus on finding new stable asset bases to meet these demands [2] - The low interest rate environment increases investment pressure on wealth management companies, requiring them to adjust their investment strategies while educating clients about product performance [2] Group 3: Investment Strategies and Product Development - Wealth management companies should leverage their broad investment scope and flexible strategies to identify innovative low-volatility assets, while also enhancing research on traditional fixed-income assets [4] - The positioning of wealth management products as alternatives to deposits, with a focus on maintaining competitive yields, is essential for solidifying market presence [4] Group 4: Pension Wealth Management - Joint venture wealth management companies can capitalize on their overseas resources and experience in pension investment to offer differentiated products tailored to local market needs [5][6] - The integration of overseas investment strategies with local insights can create unique pension investment experiences for clients, addressing their primary concerns of low risk and stable returns [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - The global economy is undergoing significant adjustments with widespread implementation of loose monetary policies, leading to a low-interest-rate environment and lackluster returns from traditional fixed-income assets. In this context, Great Wall Fund has launched the "Fixed Income +" product, the Great Wall Fengze Bond Fund, to help investors pursue stable growth in a low-interest environment [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Strategy and Composition - The "Fixed Income +" strategy primarily focuses on bond assets while seeking to enhance returns through equity assets, showcasing multiple allocation values. It aims to achieve a synergistic effect where the combination of different low-correlated assets results in greater overall returns [1]. - The Great Wall Fengze Bond Fund allocates over 80% of its assets to bonds and 5%-20% to equity assets. The fund emphasizes selecting high-quality pure bonds as the underlying assets, particularly focusing on medium to short-duration interest rate bonds and high-grade corporate bonds to build a stable base [2]. - The "+" component of the fund involves moderate participation in equity markets through convertible bonds and stocks, with a focus on low-volatility dividend stocks and undervalued convertible bonds, aiming to enhance overall returns while controlling risk [2]. Group 2: Fund Management and Performance - The proposed fund manager, Zhang Lin, has over 11 years of experience in the securities industry and more than 8 years in public fund management, demonstrating strong capabilities in asset allocation across various asset classes [2]. - As of September 30, 2025, Zhang Lin's previous fund, Great Wall Stable Income A, achieved a one-year return of 7.48%, significantly outperforming the benchmark return of 4.27%. The fund also exhibited a Sharpe ratio of 2.31, surpassing the average of 1.34 for similar funds [2]. - Great Wall Fund has been actively enhancing its fixed-income capabilities, receiving a five-star rating for its overall bond investment ability from Guotai Junan Securities and a three-year five-star rating for its first-level bond fund management from Jiaan Jinxin [2].

Macroeconomic Overview of Southeast Asia - Southeast Asia faces dual pressures from the US "reciprocal tariffs" and the opening of a "zero-tariff door" by the US, leading to a reduction in export competitiveness due to an average tariff of 19-20% on goods exported to the US [2][7] - Despite these challenges, the average economic growth rate for Southeast Asia is projected to be 4.2% in 2026, outperforming the global average of 2.9% [2][7] - Individual GDP growth rates for 2026 are expected to be 7.0% for Vietnam, 5.7% for the Philippines, 4.9% for Indonesia, 4.2% for Malaysia, and 1.8% for both Singapore and Thailand [2][7] Investment Themes in Southeast Asia - A low-interest-rate environment is anticipated, benefiting the real estate sector and other capital-intensive industries, with policy rates in various countries reduced significantly [3] - The effective tax rate advantage for ASEAN countries is expanding, with an average effective tax rate of 15%, compared to 43% for China, which may benefit local industries and logistics [4] - Geopolitical tensions are expected to drive growth in sectors such as AI, data centers, and mining, particularly in Malaysia and Singapore, which have strong semiconductor and electronic manufacturing capabilities [5] Country-Specific Investment Strategies - **Vietnam**: Plans to achieve double-digit GDP growth by 2026, focusing on infrastructure and real estate investments, and aims to establish financial hubs [11] - **Indonesia**: Facing internal challenges but has plans for significant economic reforms and investments in public housing and resource integration [12] - **Malaysia**: The government is focusing on high-value industries like semiconductors and AI, aiming to enhance its position in global supply chains [13] - **Singapore**: Expected to benefit from a stable political environment and low-interest rates, with potential growth in construction and REITs [14] - **Thailand**: Internal conflicts and policy uncertainties may hinder economic performance, despite potential benefits from foreign capital [14] - **Philippines**: Faces challenges from stalled infrastructure projects and competition from AI, which may impact economic growth [14] Trade and Foreign Investment Dynamics - Southeast Asia is adapting to new trade dynamics due to high tariffs, with countries seeking to establish new trade relationships to mitigate risks from US tariffs [16] - The region has seen a diversification of foreign direct investment sources, with a notable decrease in US investment and an increase from ASEAN countries [28] - The manufacturing supply chain in Southeast Asia is evolving, with significant greenfield investments in sectors like automotive and machinery [24] Capital Market Trends - Southeast Asian equity markets have shown resilience, with Vietnam leading in performance, while other countries like Malaysia and Thailand face challenges due to internal issues [29] - The region's liquidity remains strong, but foreign institutional investors have been net sellers, indicating a shift in investment preferences towards fixed-income assets [33]

Core Viewpoint - The current low interest rate environment in China is likely to persist long-term, prompting investors to seek stable asset allocation strategies to achieve consistent returns [1][3]. Group 1: Low Interest Rate Environment - The yield on China's 10-year government bonds has fallen below 2.5%, marking a ten-year low, which raises concerns about asset allocation in a low-risk return scenario [1]. - Many investors believe that the low interest rate environment will be a long-term trend, influenced by both monetary policy and the natural evolution of the economic cycle [3]. Group 2: Appeal of Dividend Assets - Dividend assets are becoming increasingly attractive due to economic recovery and relatively low valuation levels, with their yields surpassing many fixed-income products [3]. - The ongoing issuance of the Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend Low Volatility ETF (code: 159118) is designed to capture both stable large-cap stocks and the growth potential of smaller companies [4]. Group 3: Market Trends and Policy Support - Recent regulatory reforms, such as the New National Nine Articles and new market capitalization management rules, emphasize the importance of shareholder returns, making high-dividend companies more appealing [5]. - Institutional investors are increasingly favoring high-dividend strategies, aligning with market trends and policy incentives [5]. Group 4: Valuation Advantages in Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong market offers a valuation advantage, with dividend stocks generally providing higher yields and lower valuations compared to A-shares; for instance, the Hang Seng Index's dividend yield exceeds 4%, while the CSI 300's is around 2.5% [6]. Group 5: Stability in Volatile Markets - The Dividend Low Volatility strategy has demonstrated stable performance during recent market fluctuations, focusing on companies with stable cash flows and reasonable valuations [7]. - Dividend assets provide certainty and consistent cash flow, offering investors a sense of security amid market volatility [7]. Group 6: Investment Recommendations - It is advisable to allocate a portion of the investment portfolio to the Dividend Low Volatility strategy, which can provide stable cash flow and reduce overall portfolio volatility [8]. - The unique characteristics of the Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend Low Volatility ETF (159118) make it particularly advantageous in the current market environment, enhancing the investment experience [8].

Group 1 - The current low interest rate environment in China, with the 10-year government bond yield falling below 2.5%, is expected to persist long-term, influencing asset allocation strategies [1] - The appeal of dividend assets is increasing as their yields surpass many fixed-income products, driven by economic recovery and relatively low valuation levels [1] Group 2 - The newly issued Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend Low Volatility ETF (code: 159118) is designed for the Hong Kong market, featuring a sample stock distribution where companies with a market cap above 50 billion account for approximately 24.56% and those below account for about 75.44%, indicating a mix of stable large-cap stocks and growth potential from smaller companies [2] - The average price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the sample stocks is low, with 41.23% of stocks having a PE below 10 and 44.76% between 10 and 20, suggesting a significant safety margin for investors [2] Group 3 - Regulatory reforms, such as the New National Nine Articles and new market capitalization management rules, emphasize the importance of shareholder returns, making high-dividend companies increasingly attractive [3] - The Hong Kong market offers a valuation advantage over A-shares, with the Hang Seng Index's dividend yield exceeding 4%, compared to approximately 2.5% for the CSI 300 [3] Group 4 - The dividend low volatility strategy has demonstrated stable returns amid increased market volatility, focusing on companies with stable cash flows, consistent dividends, and reasonable valuations [4] - Dividend assets provide certainty during market downturns, offering continuous dividend distributions that help investors maintain stability [4] Group 5 - It is advisable to allocate a portion of assets to the dividend low volatility strategy, which can serve as a "core holding" to provide stable cash flow and reduce overall portfolio volatility while retaining flexibility for market gains [5] - The dual characteristics of "dividend + low volatility" in the Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend Low Volatility ETF (159118) offer unique advantages in the current market environment, enhancing the investment experience [5]

长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 潘瑞冬 大型公募基金兴证全球基金同日官宣两大核心高管新任人选。 11月7日，兴证全球基金发布公告表示，因公司安排，原总经理、财务负责人庄园芳升任董事长、法定 代表人，任职日期为11月7日。同时，公司原副总经理陈锦泉升任总经理、财务负责人，任职日期为11 月6日。 长江商报记者注意到，庄园芳1992年加入兴业证券，2016年"空降"兴证全球基金董事长，不久后转任总 经理至今，历任兴证全球基金副董事长、总经理、财务负责人，是该基金公司33年的老将。此次出任董 事长，是庄园芳第二次执掌兴证全球基金的"帅印"。 天天基金网显示，兴证全球基金旗下共143只基金，管理规模达7419.92亿元，较2024年末增加了447.3亿 元，管理规模在2025年6月末首次突破7000亿大关。 兴证全球旗下较受市场关注的是兴全全球视野股票，该只基金成立于2006年9月20日，主要投资于富有 成长性、竞争力以及价值被低估的公司，追求当期收益实现与长期资本增值。此前由王牌基金经理董承 非管理，2022年董承非已离职。 从收益来看，截至2025年11月7日，该基金近3个月涨幅为21.68%，近6个月涨幅为37. ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report is bullish on the bond market, predicting that the yield of the 10Y Treasury bond will return to around 1.65% this year, the 30Y Treasury bond to 1.9%, and the 5Y Tier 2 capital bonds of large banks to 1.9% (for bonds without VAT) [74]. Core Viewpoints - The revenue growth rate of the entire A-share market and the net profit growth rate of the parent company are at a low level, indicating that the economic growth rate may have stabilized at a low level but still faces downward pressure. The yield of the 10-year Treasury bond is more closely related to the revenue growth rate of the entire A-share market than the nominal GDP growth rate [1][4]. - The loan growth rate has been declining, and the proportion of loans in the bank's asset side is decreasing. The demand for personal and corporate loans may be weak in the long term, while the scale of government bonds may significantly expand. The asset structure of the banking system may face long-term changes, with the proportion of loans likely to decline significantly [21][24]. - Since the beginning of 2023, the proportion of financial investments of large banks has rebounded, and the growth rate of bond investments has increased. The cost rate of interest-bearing liabilities of listed banks has been decreasing quarter by quarter, and it is expected to further decline in the future [1][49]. - The decline in bank liability costs will support the downward oscillation of bond yields. Given the current economic situation, the rapid decline in bank liability costs, and the loose capital situation, the report is bullish on the bond market [70][74]. Summary by Directory 1. Analyzing Economic and Bank Operating Pressures from the Q3 Reports of the Entire A-share Market - **Economic Insights from the Entire A-share Performance**: The revenue growth rate of the entire A-share market can reflect the nominal GDP growth rate to some extent. The revenue growth rate of the entire A-share market and the 10-year Treasury bond yield have a similar trend. The performance growth rate of the entire A-share market is still under pressure, and the growth rate of the real economy also faces significant pressure [5][6][9]. - **Economic Insights from the Bank Sector Performance**: The performance of the banking sector is closely related to the economy. In recent years, the performance growth of the banking sector has been under significant pressure, and the net interest margin of commercial banks has been continuously declining [11][12][15]. - **Financing Demand from the Entire A-share Liabilities**: Since Q1 2024, the long-term borrowing growth of the entire A-share market (excluding finance, petroleum, and petrochemicals) has almost stagnated, reflecting the weak financing demand of market-oriented enterprises. The social financing growth rate generally leads the nominal GDP growth rate by 1 - 2 quarters, but its guiding role may decline in the future [18][20]. 2. Changes in Bank Asset and Liability Situations - **Declining Loan Growth Rates of Large and Small Banks**: The loan growth rate has significantly declined. The growth of personal housing loans is facing negative growth pressure, which significantly drags down the growth rate of personal loans. The loan growth rates of both large and small banks have declined, and the proportion of loans is also decreasing. In the long term, the asset structure of the banking system may change, with the proportion of loans likely to decline and the proportion of bond investments likely to increase [21][25][36]. - **Decreasing Deposit Proportion on the Liability Side of Large Banks and Stable Deposit Proportion of Small Banks**: The growth of corporate deposits of large banks has slowed down. In recent years, the proportion of deposits on the liability side of large banks has decreased, while the average deposit proportion of listed joint-stock banks has increased [37][48]. 3. Banks with Significant Financial Investment Growth in Q3 2025 - Since the beginning of 2023, the proportion of financial investments of large banks has rebounded. In Q3 2025, the financial investments of some banks, such as ICBC and CCB, increased significantly, while those of a few banks decreased. The financial investment increments of large banks, joint-stock banks, and city and rural commercial banks were all significant, and the bond investment growth rates of the Big Four banks and small and medium-sized banks were also relatively high [49][56][59]. 4. Decrease in Bank Interest-Bearing Liability Costs - In 2025, the decline of the current deposit proportion slowed down. Since the beginning of 2024, the deposit interest payment rate has significantly decreased, and the interest-bearing liability cost rate has been decreasing quarter by quarter. It is expected to further decline in the future [60][63][66]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The decline in bank liability costs will support the downward oscillation of bond yields. In the future, the liability costs of commercial banks are expected to decline year by year, which will drive the yield of the 10-year Treasury bond to decline. Given the current economic situation and the value of government bond allocation, it is recommended that commercial bank self-operated departments increase the allocation of government bonds. The report is bullish on the bond market [70][73][74].

Core Viewpoint - The Huazhong Fengtai Bond Fund is set to launch on November 11, focusing on stable investment strategies in a low-interest-rate environment, aiming to provide asset allocation solutions for investors seeking stability [1] Group 1: Fund Characteristics - The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in bonds, with 5%-20% allocated to equity and convertible bonds, and a minimum of 5% in domestic stocks [2] - The fund manager, Wu Wenming, has nearly 16 years of experience in finance and fund management, with a focus on macro trend analysis and precise bond pricing [2] - The fund management team employs a diversified approach, ensuring comprehensive coverage across various asset classes and investment strategies [2] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The fund aims to build a solid foundation through high-rated bonds while maintaining a balanced equity exposure to optimize risk and return [1][2] - In the current market, the likelihood of significant adjustments in bond yields is low, presenting opportunities for strategic investments [3] - The fund will actively participate in credit bonds that have not fully recovered from previous interest rate increases, while maintaining liquidity in the portfolio [3]

Core Viewpoint - The banking wealth management sector is undergoing a transformation towards a "multi-asset, multi-strategy" approach to address challenges posed by low interest rates, asset scarcity, and market volatility, necessitating a comprehensive restructuring of investment strategies, asset acquisition, trading processes, risk control, product disclosure, and compliance operations [2][4][5]. Group 1: Industry Challenges and Transformation - The banking wealth management industry is facing significant challenges due to the low interest rate environment, which has led to a decline in the returns of fixed-income assets, impacting the overall performance of wealth management products [4][5]. - As of the end of Q3 2023, the total scale of bank wealth management reached 32.13 trillion yuan, with over 80% of funds still allocated to fixed-income assets, highlighting the need for diversification [4]. - The transition to a "multi-asset, multi-strategy" model is seen as essential for creating stable and attractive returns in the current market landscape [4][5]. Group 2: Implementation of Multi-Asset Strategies - Banks are actively expanding their investment teams to include equity investments, quantitative strategies, and alternative assets such as REITs and gold, aiming to enhance returns and mitigate risks [2][11]. - The integration of diverse asset classes requires a shift from traditional fixed-income strategies to a more dynamic approach that emphasizes risk management and performance consistency [5][11]. - The challenges of aligning investment styles between new hires from brokerage firms and the conservative investment philosophy of bank wealth management teams have led to difficulties in achieving cohesive strategies [8][9]. Group 3: Internal Management and Risk Control - The shift to a "multi-asset, multi-strategy" framework necessitates a complete overhaul of internal management processes, including trading links, risk control iterations, information disclosure, and compliance operations [14][15]. - The complexity of managing diverse investment strategies requires advanced technology solutions, such as AI and automation, to enhance operational efficiency and ensure compliance with regulatory requirements [15][16]. - A new risk control model is being developed to adapt to the multi-asset environment, focusing on the unique risk characteristics of different assets and strategies while ensuring low correlation among them to achieve better risk diversification [16][17].