Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's upcoming FOMC meeting is highly anticipated, with a strong market expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut in September, currently at 89.6% probability according to CME data [1] - The internal division within the Federal Reserve, highlighted by the first collective opposition from two board members since 1993, reflects a fundamental contradiction between the dual goals of tariffs and employment [2] - The current market sentiment shows a split between short-term optimism and long-term concerns, as evidenced by a weakening dollar index and rising gold prices, indicating expectations of monetary easing [2] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's decision-making dilemma is characterized by intertwined issues of fiscal deficit monetization, tariff-induced inflation, and deteriorating employment quality, which cannot be resolved by simple interest rate adjustments [3] - There are three overlapping opportunity windows in the current global market: narrowing interest rate differentials between China and the U.S. enhancing the relative yield of RMB assets, a domestic policy combination of "loose monetary + stable fiscal" providing a macro safety net for foreign capital inflow, and capital expenditure peaks in sectors like AI computing power, new energy vehicles, and consumer electronics [4] - Investors are advised to remain cautious and flexible during the "capital restructuring" process, seizing opportunities in emerging markets and adjusting exposure in response to changes in dollar credit [4]