超额夏普比率

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开源量化评论(112):基于港交所CCASS数据的港股投资策略
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-09-14 08:44
Group 1 - The report highlights a significant recovery in the Hong Kong stock market, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 31.5% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 34.0% as of September 12, 2025, driven by capital inflows and improved market sentiment [13][14][17] - The average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market reached HKD 249.4 billion in September 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of nearly 93% [13][14] - Cumulative net inflows from southbound funds have surpassed HKD 1 trillion since the establishment of the Stock Connect, marking a historical high [17][18] Group 2 - The report indicates that the top three brokerage firms account for 54.8% of the total market value held in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, demonstrating a concentration of assets among major players [22][24] - A negative correlation exists between the market value held by brokerage firms and their turnover rates, with larger firms generally exhibiting lower turnover rates compared to smaller firms [22][24] - The report identifies several outstanding brokerage firms, including辉立证券 (Futu Securities) and沪市港股通 (Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect), which have achieved high excess Sharpe ratios, indicating superior performance [29][33] Group 3 - The report presents a quantitative model that optimizes the selection of top-performing brokers and stocks, achieving an annualized excess return of 16.5% and a maximum drawdown of -15.2% [5][28] - The performance of the selected brokers and stocks is notably higher during bull markets, suggesting that the model is effective in capturing market upswings [5][28] - The report emphasizes the importance of utilizing detailed data from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's CCASS system to gain insights into market dynamics and investor behavior [20][22]