Core Insights - Xiaomi's Q3 adjusted net profit reached 11.3 billion RMB, marking a historical high with an 81% year-on-year increase, exceeding Wall Street expectations [1] - The company's electric vehicle and AI innovation segments reported operational profits of 700 million RMB for the first time, indicating a significant milestone [1] - Despite strong financial results, Xiaomi's stock price fell nearly 5% the day after the earnings report [1] Smartphone Business - Analysts agree that rising memory prices driven by AI demand pose a long-term structural challenge, suppressing overall industry profits [3] - Xiaomi's management strategy prioritizes market share over short-term margins, which has received widespread analyst support [3] - The company is locking in memory supply through 2026 and aims to increase average selling prices (ASP) while expanding market share, with a target of 30 million high-end model shipments by 2030 [3] Electric Vehicle Business - All three major investment banks show consensus on the electric vehicle segment becoming a new growth engine for Xiaomi, with Q3 operational profit of 700 million RMB being a significant achievement [4] - The electric vehicle segment's revenue reached 29 billion RMB, a 199.2% year-on-year increase, with a quarterly delivery of 108,800 vehicles [4] - There is a divergence in predictions regarding the impact of the 2026 vehicle purchase tax subsidy policy, affecting long-term gross margin forecasts among analysts [4][5] Analyst Predictions - Citigroup has lowered its smartphone shipment forecasts for 2025-2027 to 170 million, 160 million, and 166 million units, with corresponding gross margin reductions [5] - Goldman Sachs has also warned of margin pressures, predicting a smartphone gross margin of 8.8% for 2026, down approximately 1 percentage point [5] - Morgan Stanley emphasizes that Xiaomi will rely more on product mix optimization and cost control to mitigate the impact of rising memory costs [5]