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理想汽车-w(02015):营收增长短期承压,回归聚焦单品策略,迭代加速迎竞争
Investment Rating - The report maintains a cautious outlook on the company's performance for Q3, indicating a conservative revenue guidance of RMB 24.8–26.2 billion, which represents a year-over-year decline of 42.1%–38.8% [1][6]. Core Insights - The company reported Q2 revenue of RMB 30.25 billion, down 4.5% year-over-year but up 16.7% quarter-over-quarter, missing market expectations of RMB 32.47 billion [1][6]. - Vehicle sales revenue was RMB 28.9 billion, a decrease of 4.7% year-over-year but an increase of 17.0% quarter-over-quarter [1][6]. - The gross margin stood at 20.1%, with vehicle margin at 19.4%, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.6 percentage points [1][6]. - The company is shifting back to a focused single-model strategy, reducing SKU complexity to enhance customer decision-making and streamline supply chain processes [2][7]. - The company plans to accelerate its product iteration cycle from an "8-year per generation" to a "2-year per generation" model to better compete with new energy vehicle manufacturers [2][7]. - The self-developed M100 chip is progressing towards volume production, with a significant budget allocated for its development, emphasizing hardware-software synergy [3][8]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - Q2 revenue was RMB 30.25 billion, down 4.5% year-over-year and below market expectations [1][6]. - Q3 revenue guidance is set at RMB 24.8–26.2 billion, indicating a significant decline compared to previous periods [1][6]. Product Strategy - The company is returning to a single-model focus, reducing SKU complexity to streamline operations and enhance customer experience [2][7]. - The Li i6 is expected to follow the successful single-product strategy, with a launch scheduled for the end of September [2][7]. Technology Development - The company is advancing its self-developed M100 chip, with a focus on optimizing performance through hardware-software integration [3][8]. - Current models will continue to utilize Nvidia and Horizon Robotics solutions while transitioning to in-house chip development for future models [3][8].