香港联交所最新资料显示，7月31日，锦欣生殖(01951)股东将股票由香港上海汇丰银行转入港股通 (沪)，转仓市值2.78亿港元，占比3.12%。 海通国际近期研报指出，国内辅助生殖需求有望迎来拐点，政策红利逐步释放。中国平均生育年龄已接 近30岁，高龄产妇占比持续提升，对辅助生殖技术需求显著增加。2023-2025年辅助生殖纳入医保从区 域试点扩展至全国，政策落地后需求释放可期。同时，该行认为行业供给侧格局趋稳，牌照发放收紧， 公司作为民营辅助生殖龙头，有望通过三代试管婴儿牌照等技术优势和案例积累，优先承接增量需求。 ...

香港联交所最新资料显示，7月31日，锦欣生殖(01951)股东将股票由香港上海汇丰银行转入港股通 (沪)，转仓市值2.78亿港元，占比3.12%。 海通国际近期研报指出，国内辅助生殖需求有望迎来拐点，政策红利逐步释放。中国平均生育年龄已接 近30岁，高龄产妇占比持续提升，对辅助生殖技术需求显著增加。2023-2025年辅助生殖纳入医保从区 域试点扩展至全国，政策落地后需求释放可期。同时，该行认为行业供给侧格局趋稳，牌照发放收紧， 公司作为民营辅助生殖龙头，有望通过三代试管婴儿牌照等技术优势和案例积累，优先承接增量需求。 ...

海通国际近期研报指出，国内辅助生殖需求有望迎来拐点，政策红利逐步释放。中国平均生育年龄已接 近30岁，高龄产妇占比持续提升，对辅助生殖技术需求显著增加。2023-2025年辅助生殖纳入医保从区 域试点扩展至全国，政策落地后需求释放可期。同时，该行认为行业供给侧格局趋稳，牌照发放收紧， 公司作为民营辅助生殖龙头，有望通过三代试管婴儿牌照等技术优势和案例积累，优先承接增量需求。 本文源自：智通财经网 智通财经获悉，锦欣生殖(01951)盘中涨超8%，截至发稿，涨7.1%，报3.47港元，成交额6.41亿港元。 消息面上，7月30日，国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，介绍育儿补贴制度及生育支持措施有关情 况。国家医疗保障局待遇保障司副司长刘娟介绍，全国31个省（区、市）及新疆兵团全面将辅助生殖技 术纳入报销，2024年已有超100万人次享受待遇，助力万千家庭圆了"生育梦"。此外，财政部社会保障 司司长郭阳介绍，按照部署，中央财政将设立共同财政事权转移支付项目"育儿补贴补助资金"，今年初 步安排预算900亿元左右。 ...

消息面上，7月30日，国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，介绍育儿补贴制度及生育支持措施有关情 况。国家医疗保障局待遇保障司副司长刘娟介绍，全国31个省（区、市）及新疆兵团全面将辅助生殖技 术纳入报销，2024年已有超100万人次享受待遇，助力万千家庭圆了"生育梦"。此外，财政部社会保障 司司长郭阳介绍，按照部署，中央财政将设立共同财政事权转移支付项目"育儿补贴补助资金"，今年初 步安排预算900亿元左右。 海通国际近期研报指出，国内辅助生殖需求有望迎来拐点，政策红利逐步释放。中国平均生育年龄已接 近30岁，高龄产妇占比持续提升，对辅助生殖技术需求显著增加。2023-2025年辅助生殖纳入医保从区 域试点扩展至全国，政策落地后需求释放可期。同时，该行认为行业供给侧格局趋稳，牌照发放收紧， 公司作为民营辅助生殖龙头，有望通过三代试管婴儿牌照等技术优势和案例积累，优先承接增量需求。 智通财经APP获悉，锦欣生殖(01951)盘中涨超8%，截至发稿，涨7.1%，报3.47港元，成交额6.41亿港 元。 ...

锦欣生殖(01951)盘中涨超8%，截至发稿，涨7.1%，报3.47港元，成交额6.41亿港元。 消息面上，7月30日，国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，介绍育儿补贴制度及生育支持措施有关情 况。国家医疗保障局待遇保障司副司长刘娟介绍，全国31个省(区、市)及新疆兵团全面将辅助生殖技术 纳入报销，2024年已有超100万人次享受待遇，助力万千家庭圆了"生育梦"。此外，财政部社会保障司 司长郭阳介绍，按照部署，中央财政将设立共同财政事权转移支付项目"育儿补贴补助资金"，今年初步 安排预算900亿元左右。 海通国际近期研报指出，国内辅助生殖需求有望迎来拐点，政策红利逐步释放。中国平均生育年龄已接 近30岁，高龄产妇占比持续提升，对辅助生殖技术需求显著增加。2023-2025年辅助生殖纳入医保从区 域试点扩展至全国，政策落地后需求释放可期。同时，该行认为行业供给侧格局趋稳，牌照发放收紧， 公司作为民营辅助生殖龙头，有望通过三代试管婴儿牌照等技术优势和案例积累，优先承接增量需求。 ...

Group 1 - The demand for assisted reproductive technology in China is expected to reach a turning point due to increasing average maternal age and rising proportion of older mothers [1] - From 2023 to 2025, assisted reproduction will be included in national health insurance, which is anticipated to release significant demand following policy implementation [1] - The company, as a leading private player in assisted reproduction, is expected to benefit from tightened licensing and its technical advantages in third-generation IVF [1] Group 2 - The company's overseas business, particularly in the U.S., is experiencing strong growth, with an expected 18.2% year-on-year increase in egg retrieval cycles in 2024 [1] - The U.S. team is expanding, with plans to grow from 23 to 40 doctors by 2027, which will enhance operational capacity [1] - A new policy in California requiring group insurance to cover IVF treatments is expected to directly benefit the company's operations on the West Coast [1] Group 3 - The company has demonstrated resilience in profitability, with a projected domestic gross margin of approximately 27.6% in 2024 [2] - Adjusted net profit is expected to be 420 million yuan, with a profit margin of 14.8%, gradually recovering from the pandemic period [2] - Cost control measures have effectively alleviated pressure on overseas profit margins, with sales and management expense ratios optimized to 22.5% [2] Group 4 - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 are estimated at 2.99 billion yuan and 3.26 billion yuan, with growth rates of 6.4% and 9.0% respectively [2] - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are 420 million yuan and 470 million yuan, with growth rates of 0.9% and 10.5% respectively [2] - The company maintains a target price of HKD 3.69 per share, corresponding to 22x and 20x PE for 2025 and 2026, reflecting confidence in long-term value and industry recovery [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for Jinxin Fertility [1][2]. Core Views - The demand for assisted reproductive technology (ART) in China is expected to reach a turning point, driven by delayed childbearing and the gradual release of policy benefits. The average childbearing age in China is approaching 30, leading to an increase in the proportion of older mothers and a significant rise in demand for ART [3][29]. - The company's overseas business is experiencing strong growth, particularly in the U.S., where the number of egg retrieval cycles is projected to increase by 18.2% year-on-year in 2024. New policies in California are expected to further boost demand for ART services [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Future Trends in China's Assisted Reproductive Demand - The number of newborns in China is expected to stabilize in 2024, with a continuous increase in the proportion of births from older mothers. The average childbearing age has risen to 29.0 years, with a significant demand for ART from older women [14][16]. - The penetration rate of ART in China is anticipated to accelerate as the average childbearing age surpasses 30, similar to trends observed in other developed countries [19][20]. - Payment policies are identified as a core factor influencing ART penetration rates, with significant room for improvement in China's healthcare insurance and subsidy policies [25][26]. 2. Revenue and Profit Outlook for Domestic and Overseas Businesses - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at RMB 28.1 billion, reflecting a modest growth of 0.8%, primarily due to patients delaying treatment in anticipation of policy changes [34]. - The domestic business is expected to stabilize, while the overseas business, particularly in the U.S., is set to grow significantly due to an increase in the number of doctors and favorable policy changes [38][40]. - The company has successfully controlled costs, with a sales and management expense ratio of approximately 22.5%, which has helped mitigate pressure on profit margins [44]. 3. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of RMB 29.9 billion and RMB 32.6 billion in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with growth rates of 6.4% and 9.0% [5][46]. - The adjusted net profit is forecasted to be RMB 4.2 billion and RMB 4.7 billion for the same years, with growth rates of 0.9% and 10.5% [5][46]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at HKD 3.69, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 22x for 2025 and 20x for 2026, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term value as a leader in the assisted reproductive sector [49].