输变电高景气

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特变电工(600089):Q2业绩拐点,输变电海外订单持续高增
CMS· 2025-09-22 03:32
Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Strong Buy" [3] Core Views - The company has reached a turning point in Q2 performance, with significant growth in overseas orders for power transmission and transformation equipment [7] - The company reported a total revenue of 48.4 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.18 billion yuan, up 5% year-on-year [1][7] - The international orders for the power transmission and transformation sector have shown a high growth rate, with new domestic orders increasing by 14% and international orders rising by 65.9% [7] Financial Data and Valuation - The projected total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 104.52 billion yuan, reflecting a 7% year-on-year growth [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 6.02 billion yuan in 2025, representing a 46% increase compared to 2024 [2] - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 82.8 billion yuan, with a current share price of 16.38 yuan [3] Performance Metrics - The company achieved a gross margin of 16.6% in Q2 2025, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The net profit margin improved to 7.0%, up 3.3 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The return on equity (ROE) is reported at 6.0% [3] Business Segments - The power transmission and transformation segment generated revenue of 23.54 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 20% increase year-on-year [7] - The coal business reported revenue of 8.83 billion yuan, down 5.4% year-on-year, while the power generation segment saw a 29.4% increase in revenue to 3.46 billion yuan [7] - The new energy segment's revenue declined by 38% to 6.31 billion yuan, primarily due to a significant drop in polysilicon production [7] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the company’s long-term strategy of focusing on high-end equipment manufacturing in power transmission and transformation, along with its energy and new materials sectors, positions it well for future growth [7] - The projected net profit for 2025 has been revised upwards to 6 billion yuan, reflecting the anticipated recovery in the polysilicon market and sustained demand in the power transmission sector [7]