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通胀压力降温
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尽管商业环境有所改善,英国经济仍处于低迷状态
news flash· 2025-06-23 08:41
Core Viewpoint - The UK economy remains sluggish despite improvements in the business environment, with a projected GDP growth rate of only 0.1% for the second quarter [1] Group 1: Economic Performance - According to the initial PMI survey data, business activity growth is stagnating, indicating a lack of significant recovery in the economy [1] - Business confidence has declined again in June compared to the same period last year, reflecting ongoing concerns about government policies and global trade protectionism [1] Group 2: Employment and Inflation - Employment numbers continue to decrease as companies face higher labor costs, lower demand, and diminished confidence stemming from last autumn's budget [1] - The stagnation in growth, declining employment, and lower inflation rates may lead the Bank of England to consider another interest rate cut in its upcoming policy meeting in August [1]
铝周报:低库存影响铝价偏强-20250616
2025 年 6 月 16 日 低库存影响 铝价偏强 核心观点及策略 ⚫ 风险因素:美国关税及财政问题、消费超预期 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0297587 投资咨询号:Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F0307990 投资咨询号:Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F03099478 投资咨询号:Z0017785 王工建 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号:F3084165 投资咨询号:Z0016301 赵凯熙 zhao.kx@jygh.com.cn 从业资格号:F031122984 投资咨询号:Z00210404 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1 / 7 铝周报 ⚫ 上周美国5月CPI和PPI数据均不及预期,进一步强 化了通胀压力降温预期,市场加大了美联储9月降 息押注,美指快速回落。加上中美贸易谈判取得进 展,贸易紧张情绪缓解,市场风险偏好回升。基本 面,供应端北方多地铝厂和西南部分电解铝厂策略 调整导致铸 ...