通胀报告波动性

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通胀报告波动性引发担忧 沪银行情横盘震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-12 07:15
Group 1 - Silver futures are currently trading above 9193, with a slight decline of 0.43% from the opening price of 9180, reaching a high of 9218 and a low of 9140, indicating a short-term oscillating trend [1] - The market anticipates a mild increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July, with expectations of a 0.2% month-on-month rise and a core CPI increase of 0.3%, the largest in six months [3] - Concerns over the quality of economic data in the U.S. have emerged, particularly due to budget cuts and staff shortages at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leading to increased reliance on estimated data [3][4] Group 2 - The expected year-on-year increase in core CPI for July is 3.0%, up from 2.9% in June, which may not alter market expectations for the Federal Reserve to resume policy easing in September [4] - The quality of data has raised sensitivity in the market regarding Federal Reserve decisions, as unexpected fluctuations in estimated data could challenge policymakers [4] - The current situation highlights a crisis in the reliability of U.S. economic data, with implications for both investors and policymakers, emphasizing the need for reliable statistics to maintain economic stability [4]
黄金承压回落破底中阴 美国CPI成关键指引
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-12 07:15
摘要周二(8月12日)亚洲时段,现货黄金在前一交易日大幅下挫后企稳回升,最新黄金价格交投于 3345美元附近,目前市场正密切关注即将公布的美国7月核心CPI数据,该数据可能为美联储9月降息预 期提供关键指引。 核心CPI的表现则更引人注目,扣除食品和能源后的这一指标预计环比上涨0.3%,这将是自今年1月以 来的最大涨幅,而6月仅为0.2%。 【技术分析】 昨日现货黄金在亚盘开盘后迅速向下回落击穿3370关口呈现窄幅震荡整理,午后欧盘进一步向下回落击 穿3360关口延续弱势震荡下行走弱,晚间美盘压制回落破底中阴,整体金价走势呈现极弱单边空头下行 节奏,今天金价继续关注3340一线重要支撑位置。 从4小时分析来看,今日金价上方短线阻力关注3365-73附近,短期空头弱势分界线关注3380-85关口。 周二(8月12日)亚洲时段,现货黄金在前一交易日大幅下挫后企稳回升,最新黄金价格交投于3345美 元附近,目前市场正密切关注即将公布的美国7月核心CPI数据,该数据可能为美联储9月降息预期提供 关键指引。 【要闻速递】 OANDA高级市场分析师Kelvin Wong指出:"当前市场已基本消化9月降息预期,若核心CPI ...