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银轮股份(002126):2025年Q1营收、利润同比稳步增长,第三曲线业务快速开拓
Guohai Securities· 2025-05-05 14:31
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a steady growth in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 3.416 billion yuan, up 15.05% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 212 million yuan, up 10.89% year-on-year [6][7]. - The company's gross margin was 19.79%, a decrease of 1.77 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to changes in accounting policies, while the net profit margin was 6.97%, down 0.13 percentage points year-on-year [7]. - The company is rapidly expanding its third curve business, which includes thermal management products for various sectors such as commercial vehicles, passenger cars, new energy, and emerging fields like smart driving and data processing centers, indicating strong future growth potential [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.416 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.05%, and a net profit of 212 million yuan, up 10.89% year-on-year [6][7]. - The company expects to achieve total revenue of 15.5 billion, 17.8 billion, and 19.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22%, 15%, and 10% [9][10]. Profitability Forecast - The forecasted net profit for the company is 1.1 billion, 1.3 billion, and 1.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 36%, 24%, and 17% [9][10]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.28, 1.59, and 1.86 yuan for the same years, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 20, 16, and 14 times [9][10]. Business Expansion - The company is actively developing its third curve business, which includes products for energy storage, liquid cooling systems, and data center cooling solutions, indicating a strategic focus on high-growth areas [7][9].