金融股权布局

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南京银行(601009):江苏交控受让云杉资本股份,地方国资优化金融股权布局
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-12 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The report highlights that Jiangsu Jiaokong has received a 4.02% stake in Nanjing Bank from Yunshan Capital, increasing its total holdings to 14.01%. Yunshan Capital, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Jiangsu Jiaokong, will no longer hold shares in Nanjing Bank. This move reflects the major shareholders' confidence in the long-term development value of Nanjing Bank, which has seen continuous increases in shareholding in recent years [2][6]. - The report emphasizes that local state-owned enterprises are actively increasing their stakes in quality local banks, optimizing the financial equity structure amid an asset shortage. Nanjing Bank's fundamentals are strong, and it is expected to maintain a leading position in ROE and performance growth in the medium term. The high proportion of state-owned shareholders ensures stable dividends [2][6]. - The current valuation stands at 0.83x 2025 PB, with low institutional holdings, indicating significant allocation value [2]. Summary by Sections Event Description - Nanjing Bank announced that Jiangsu Jiaokong will receive a 4.02% stake from Yunshan Capital, raising its total shareholding to 14.01% after the transfer. Yunshan Capital will no longer hold shares in Nanjing Bank [6]. Shareholder Activity - Major shareholders, including Jiangsu provincial and municipal state-owned enterprises, have been consistently increasing their stakes since 2020, reflecting confidence in Nanjing Bank's future growth and value [11]. - Jiangsu Jiaokong has been a significant player, having previously acquired 10 billion shares through a directed issuance, becoming one of the top shareholders [11]. Financial Performance and Projections - Nanjing Bank is expected to enter a new five-year planning cycle in 2026, with three major turning points anticipated. These include a completed large-scale branch expansion, a peak in fixed deposit maturities, and a gradual decrease in cost-to-income ratios, which will enhance ROE [11]. - The report forecasts a 2025 dividend yield of 4.4% and highlights that the bank's valuation is notably low compared to other quality banks in the Yangtze River Delta region [11]. Investment Recommendation - The report concludes that the dividend value is underestimated, and the allocation value is significant. The high proportion of state-owned shareholders ensures a commitment to dividends, making Nanjing Bank a compelling investment opportunity [11].