钾肥项目建设

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东方铁塔(002545):2024年报及2025一季报点评:24年氯化钾产销量显著提升,积极推进第二个百万吨项目建设
EBSCN· 2025-05-06 06:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has significantly increased its potassium chloride production and sales in 2024, and is actively advancing the construction of a second million-ton project [5][6] - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.196 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.79%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.97% to 564 million yuan [4][7] - The company’s potassium chloride business revenue reached 2.364 billion yuan in 2024, up 16.3% year-on-year, with production increasing by 35% to 1.2 million tons and sales rising by 39% to 1.21 million tons [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.085 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.63% year-on-year, and a net profit of 98 million yuan, down 22.01% year-on-year [4] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 954 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.48%, and a net profit of 206 million yuan, up 22.70% year-on-year [4] Business Segments - The construction segment, including steel structures and installation, generated 1.783 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, a decrease of 7.4%, but with an improved gross margin of 9.0% [5] - The company is progressing with its second 1 million tons/year potassium fertilizer project and has a strong market position in the steel structure business, particularly in power grid procurement [6] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 817 million yuan, 852 million yuan, and 1.032 billion yuan respectively, with a downward adjustment for 2026 due to slower-than-expected capacity construction [7][8] - The report projects a revenue growth rate of 14.37% for 2025 and a net profit growth rate of 44.74% for the same year [8][11]