证券之星消息，11月24日农化制品板块较上一交易日下跌1.02%，蓝丰生化领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3836.77，上涨0.05%。深证成指报收于12585.08，上涨0.37%。农化制品板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日农化制品板块主力资金净流出7.38亿元，游资资金净流入2.8亿元，散户资金净 流入4.58亿元。农化制品板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入(元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600096 | 云天化 | 9735.99万 | 6.70% | 3288.30万 | 2.26% | -1.30 Z | -8.97% | | 603360 百傲化学 | | 4906.48万 | 11.35% | -2047.16万 | -4.74% | -2859.32万 | -6.62% | | 002545 东方铁塔 | | 4553.66万 | 11.42% | -235.31万 | -0.59% | ...

从东方铁塔十大流通股东角度 数据显示，广发基金旗下1只基金位居东方铁塔十大流通股东。广发价值核心混合A（010377）三季度 新进十大流通股东，持有股数2237.43万股，占流通股的比例为1.98%。根据测算，今日浮亏损失约 1879.44万元。 11月21日，东方铁塔跌5.08%，截至发稿，报15.70元/股，成交1.57亿元，换手率0.86%，总市值195.32 亿元。 资料显示，青岛东方铁塔股份有限公司位于山东省青岛胶州市广州北路318号，成立日期1996年8月1 日，上市日期2011年2月11日，公司主营业务涉及钢结构(电厂钢结构、石化钢结构、民用建筑钢结构) 和铁塔类产品(输电线路铁塔、广播电视塔、通信塔)研发、设计、生产、销售和安装。氯化钾的开采、 生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为：氯化钾65.07%，角钢塔16.09%，钢结构11.72%，钢管塔4.63%，溴 化钠1.73%，其他0.52%，建筑安装0.14%，发电0.10%。 截至发稿，吴远怡累计任职时间5年54天，现任基金资产总规模232.97亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 141.24%， 任职期间最差基金回报-19.12%。 从基金十大重仓股 ...

- The report introduces a quantitative model named "250-day new high distance" to monitor market trends and identify investment hotspots. The model is based on momentum and trend-following strategies, which have been proven effective in previous studies. It calculates the distance between the latest closing price and the highest closing price in the past 250 trading days using the formula: $ 250\text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max}(\text{Close}, 250)} $ where $\text{Close}_{t}$ represents the latest closing price, and $\text{ts\_max}(\text{Close}, 250)$ is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days. If the latest closing price reaches a new high, the distance is 0; otherwise, it is a positive value indicating the degree of pullback [11][19][27] - The model is evaluated positively for its ability to track market trends and identify leading stocks that are consistently reaching new highs. It is inspired by methodologies from notable researchers and practitioners such as George (2004), William O'Neil, and Mark Minervini, who emphasize the importance of monitoring stocks near their 52-week highs [11][18][19] - The report also introduces a screening method for "stable new high stocks," focusing on stocks with smooth price paths and consistent momentum. The screening criteria include analyst attention (at least five buy or overweight ratings in the past three months), relative price strength (top 20% in 250-day returns), price path smoothness (measured by price displacement ratio), and trend continuation (average 250-day new high distance over the past 120 days and past five days). Stocks meeting these criteria are ranked, and the top 50% are selected [25][27][28] - The backtesting results show that 1080 stocks reached 250-day new highs in the past 20 trading days. Among them, the highest numbers are in the basic chemicals, machinery, and electric power equipment & new energy sectors. The highest proportions are in coal, steel, and non-ferrous metals sectors. Additionally, 39 stocks were identified as "stable new high stocks," with the majority belonging to cyclical and manufacturing sectors [19][20][28] - Key metrics for indices include the 250-day new high distance for major indices as of November 14, 2025: Shanghai Composite Index (0.97%), Shenzhen Component Index (3.71%), CSI 300 (2.52%), CSI 500 (4.15%), CSI 1000 (1.90%), CSI 2000 (0.66%), ChiNext Index (6.40%), and STAR 50 Index (11.56%) [12][13][32] - Key metrics for industries include the 250-day new high distance for sectors such as textiles & apparel (0.00%), light manufacturing (0.08%), comprehensive (0.06%), transportation (0.14%), and steel (0.36%) [13][15][32] - Key metrics for concepts include the 250-day new high distance for HJT batteries, home furnishings, forestry, equal-weight micro-cap stocks, energy storage, oil & gas, and lithium mining concepts, which are relatively close to their 250-day highs [15][17][32]

Group 1 - The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors that are reaching new highs, indicating market trends and hotspots [1][4][26] - As of November 14, 2025, the distance to the 250-day new high for major indices is as follows: Shanghai Composite Index at 0.97%, Shenzhen Component Index at 3.71%, CSI 300 at 2.52%, and others [6][26] - Among the CITIC first-level industry indices, textiles and apparel, light industry manufacturing, comprehensive, transportation, and steel industries are closest to their 250-day new highs, while food and beverage, comprehensive finance, defense, automotive, and computer industries are further away [9][26] Group 2 - A total of 1,080 stocks reached a 250-day new high in the past 20 trading days, with the highest number in the basic chemical, machinery, and electric power equipment and new energy sectors [2][14][26] - The highest proportion of new high stocks is found in the coal, steel, and non-ferrous metal industries, with respective proportions of 50.00%, 39.62%, and 37.90% [14][26] - By sector distribution, the cyclical and manufacturing sectors had the most new high stocks, with 358 and 304 stocks respectively [17][26] Group 3 - The report identifies 39 stocks that have shown stable new highs, with the majority coming from the cyclical and manufacturing sectors, specifically in basic chemicals and machinery [19][22][27] - The selection criteria for stable new high stocks include analyst attention, relative strength of stock prices, price path smoothness, and continuity of new highs [21][27] - The report emphasizes the importance of tracking leading stocks that consistently reach new highs as indicators of market and industry trends [13][27]

Core Viewpoint - Oriental Tower's stock price has seen significant fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 149.63%, but a recent decline of 2.04% on November 14 [1] Company Overview - Qingdao Oriental Tower Co., Ltd. was established on August 1, 1996, and listed on February 11, 2011. The company specializes in the research, design, production, sales, and installation of steel structures and tower products [1] - The main business revenue composition includes potassium chloride (65.07%), angle steel towers (16.09%), steel structures (11.72%), steel pipe towers (4.63%), sodium bromide (1.73%), and other segments [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Oriental Tower achieved operating revenue of 3.392 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.05%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 828 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 77.57% [2] - Cumulatively, the company has distributed 2.614 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.257 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders is 20,400, a decrease of 10.29% from the previous period, with an average of 55,351 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 11.48% [2] - Notable shareholders include GF Value Core Mixed A, which is the fourth-largest shareholder with 22.3743 million shares, and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which is the ninth-largest shareholder with 10.7215 million shares, having decreased its holdings by 3.8382 million shares [3]

Group 1: Market Supply and Demand - The overall supply of potassium chloride in 2025 is expected to be tight due to reduced production in Canada and escalating conflicts in the Middle East [2] - Despite improved relations between the US and Russia, transportation costs hinder Russian supply to China, limiting border trade [2] - Canadian products primarily serve North and South America, with limited supply to Asia, resulting in better market prices in China compared to Southeast Asia [2] Group 2: Project Progress - The mining rights review and ecological assessment for the Kunming Deyin Phosphate Mine project have been completed, with mining permit expected next year [2][3] - The project aims for an annual capacity of 2 million tons of raw ore and 1.1 million tons of concentrate, with a construction period of approximately 1.5 years [3] Group 3: Future Capacity Plans - The company plans to advance the second phase of the Laos Kaiyuan project, targeting an annual capacity of 1 million tons of potassium chloride, with a goal of reaching a total capacity of 3 million tons [3] - The phosphate project is also set to expand, with plans for a second phase of 2-3 million tons of raw ore after the first phase is operational [3] Group 4: Shareholding Information - The company holds 174 million shares of Qingdao Bank, with any potential reduction in holdings to be determined based on market conditions [3]

Core Viewpoint - Oriental Tower's stock price has increased significantly this year, but it has recently experienced a slight decline in the short term [1][2]. Company Overview - Qingdao Oriental Tower Co., Ltd. was established on August 1, 1996, and listed on February 11, 2011. The company specializes in the research, design, production, sales, and installation of steel structures and tower products [1]. - The main business revenue composition includes: potassium chloride 65.07%, angle steel towers 16.09%, steel structures 11.72%, steel pipe towers 4.63%, sodium bromide 1.73%, others 0.52%, construction installation 0.14%, and power generation 0.10% [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Oriental Tower achieved operating revenue of 3.392 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.05%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 828 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 77.57% [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Oriental Tower has distributed a total of 2.614 billion yuan in dividends, with 1.257 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders of Oriental Tower is 20,400, a decrease of 10.29% from the previous period, with an average of 55,351 circulating shares per person, an increase of 11.48% [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include new shareholder GF Value Core Mixed A, holding 22.3743 million shares, while Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited reduced its holdings by 3.8382 million shares [3].

Core Insights - The potassium fertilizer market is experiencing a tight supply-demand balance, leading to a steady increase in prices, with the average domestic price of potassium chloride reaching 3237 RMB/ton, up 28.66% year-to-date and 34.37% year-on-year [1][2] - Major domestic potassium fertilizer producers are expected to continue their performance growth in Q4 due to resource control, cost advantages, and production capacity [1][2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Global potassium ore reserves exceed 4.8 billion tons, primarily located in Canada, Laos, Russia, and Belarus, which together account for 79% of the total [2] - China's potassium fertilizer imports are projected to reach 12.63 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.07%, with an import dependency exceeding 60% [2] - The domestic demand for fertilizers has surged due to the autumn farming season, while international production cuts have begun to impact supply, with significant reductions expected from Belarus and Russia [2] - As of October 31, domestic potassium chloride port inventory was approximately 2.2 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 25.48%, indicating a "more in the north, less in the south" situation [2] Industry Expansion and Capacity Development - Leading companies in the potassium fertilizer industry are accelerating overseas resource development, with Salt Lake Co. planning to increase its potassium fertilizer production capacity to 10 million tons per year by 2030 [3] - Yara International has a potassium chloride production capacity of 3 million tons per year and is focused on overseas resources, with significant reserves in Laos [3][4] - Cangge Mining and Dongfang Iron Tower are also actively pursuing overseas potassium fertilizer projects, with Cangge Mining having a current capacity of 1.2 million tons per year [4] Performance Outlook - Major potassium fertilizer companies in the A-share market have reported significant revenue and net profit growth in the first three quarters of the year, with Yara International's revenue reaching 3.867 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 55.76% [5][6] - The potassium chloride price is expected to remain supported in Q4 due to tight supply and stable demand, with low domestic port inventories and international contract prices providing additional support [6] - Salt Lake Co. plans to adopt a market-oriented approach in its potassium fertilizer production, focusing on aligning production with market demand and enhancing product effectiveness [6][7]

Financing Activities - On November 10, Dongfang Tietu (002545) had a financing buy of 23.12 million yuan and a financing repayment of 21.01 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of 2.11 million yuan. The financing balance stands at 260 million yuan [1] - Over the past three trading days, the cumulative net financing buy reached 21.93 million yuan, with 11 out of the last 20 trading days showing net financing buys [1] Margin Trading Data - On November 10, the margin trading balance was 261 million yuan, reflecting an increase of 1.91 million yuan or 0.74% from the previous day [4] - The margin trading balance had previously increased by 22.78 million yuan or 0.89% on November 7, and saw a significant rise of 177.86 million yuan or 7.43% on November 6 [4] Short Selling Activities - On November 10, there were 4,600 shares sold short, with 14,300 shares repaid, resulting in a net short sell of 9,700 shares. The remaining short selling volume is 77,800 shares [3] - The short selling balance on November 10 was 1.29 million yuan [3] Summary of Financing and Short Selling - The financing activities indicate a positive sentiment towards Dongfang Tietu, with consistent net buys over recent trading days [1][2] - The increase in margin trading balance suggests growing investor interest, while the short selling data indicates a cautious approach among some investors [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the construction and engineering sector [9] Core Views - The construction sector exhibits characteristics such as low valuation, low institutional holdings, large market capitalization, and stable outlook for quality targets. The report identifies four key investment directions within the construction industry: 1) Companies with strong Q3 performance and short-term earnings certainty 2) High dividend yield stocks providing a safety cushion 3) Strong long-term growth potential 4) Large-cap stocks with low absolute valuations [5][6][7] Summary by Sections Valuation Metrics - As of the latest closing, the Jiangsu Construction Index has a PE ratio of 12.83, ranking 28th across all industries, with a 10-year percentile of 68.5%. The PB ratio stands at 0.84, ranking 31st, with a 10-year percentile of 16.22%. Notably, the construction sector and the banking sector are the only indices within the Jiangsu framework that are trading below book value [5][6] Institutional Holdings - The construction sector has historically low institutional holdings, which may reflect a weak outlook for the industry and a lack of attention from investors. This could lead to undervaluation of high-quality construction stocks [6] Market Capitalization - The construction sector has a limited number of listed companies, with eight major state-owned enterprises collectively valued at 941.19 billion, accounting for 47% of the Jiangsu Construction Index's market capitalization. These enterprises play a crucial role in stabilizing economic growth and are likely to be favored in a market shift towards undervalued sectors [6][7] Investment Directions - **Direction One**: Focus on companies with strong Q3 earnings, such as Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Chemical, and others, which show robust growth and sufficient order backlogs [7] - **Direction Two**: Invest in high dividend yield stocks like Jianghe Group (6.2%), Sichuan Road and Bridge (5.6%), and others, which provide a strong holding safety net [7] - **Direction Three**: Target companies with strong long-term growth potential, such as Honglu Steel Structure and others benefiting from semiconductor capital expenditure [7] - **Direction Four**: Invest in large-cap stocks with low absolute valuations, including eight major state-owned enterprises that are all trading below book value [7]