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铜陵有色(000630):米拉多铜矿二期投产在即 铜精矿自给率有望提升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-25 00:34
Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 145.53 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.88%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.81 billion yuan, up 4.05% year-on-year [1] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 39.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.52%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders dropped to 79 million yuan, a decline of 36.12% year-on-year [1] - The Mirador copper mine's production was affected by power supply issues due to drought in Ecuador, leading to 28 days of complete shutdown and 26 days of reduced production [1] Group 2 - The copper smelting processing fees have significantly decreased in 2024, putting pressure on the profitability of smelting operations, with a gross margin of 7.09%, down 0.17 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company's smelting plants reported a net profit of 331 million yuan in H2 2024, a decrease of 134 million yuan compared to H1 2024 [2] Group 3 - The company plans to produce 194,900 tons of copper concentrate in 2025, an increase from 155,200 tons in 2024, despite a decline in 2024 production [3] - In 2024, the company produced 1.768 million tons of cathode copper and plans to increase this to 1.896 million tons in 2025 [3] Group 4 - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 2.878 billion yuan, 3.848 billion yuan, and 4.418 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 2.47%, 33.72%, and 14.80% respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 14.0, 10.5, and 9.2 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]