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云铝股份(000807):业绩水平提升 原铝产量创历史新高
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-03-31 02:35
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for 2024, with significant growth in revenue and profit driven by increased production and prices of electrolytic aluminum [1][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total operating revenue of 54.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.61% [1] - The total profit reached 5.972 billion yuan, up 7.74% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.412 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.52% increase year-on-year [1] Production Highlights - The company produced 1.4088 million tons of alumina and 2.9383 million tons of primary aluminum, marking a 22.45% year-on-year increase and setting a historical production high [1] - Production of carbon products reached 805,800 tons, up 2.85% year-on-year, while aluminum alloy and processing products totaled 1.2541 million tons, a 1.75% increase [1] - The average price of electrolytic aluminum in 2024 was approximately 19,921.61 yuan per ton, a 6.5% increase compared to 2023 [1] Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued production growth in 2025, with targets of approximately 1.41 million tons of alumina, 3.01 million tons of electrolytic aluminum, 1.28 million tons of aluminum alloy and processing products, and 780,000 tons of carbon products [2] - The decline in alumina prices is expected to enhance electrolytic aluminum profits, with the average alumina price as of March 25, 2025, at 3,160.00 yuan per ton, down 43.6% from the beginning of the year [2] - The domestic electrolytic aluminum industry profit level was approximately 3,689.79 yuan per ton as of March 26, 2025, indicating a recovery and a 39.6% year-on-year increase [2] Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve total operating revenues of 57.4 billion yuan, 58.8 billion yuan, and 60.4 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with net profits attributable to shareholders of 6.8 billion yuan, 7.3 billion yuan, and 8.0 billion yuan respectively [3] - The investment rating is maintained at "Buy" based on the positive outlook for production and profitability [3]