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铯铷行业深度(Ⅱ):消费结构改善叠加新兴需求爆发,全球铯铷盐需求曲线或持续右移-东兴证券
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 08:36
Group 1 - The report from Dongxing Securities focuses on the development of the cesium and rubidium industry, analyzing resource characteristics, market demand, supply-demand patterns, and key enterprises to provide investment references for the industry [1] - Cesium and rubidium are rare light metals with scarce resources and high extraction difficulty. The global supply of cesium is expected to be less than 40 tons in 2024, with prices reaching 4 million yuan per ton [1][2] - The global demand for cesium and rubidium is clearly on the rise, driven by three main factors: consumption structure upgrades in China, the explosive demand from perovskite solar cells, and improvements in rubidium supply [2][9] Group 2 - In 2020, global cesium consumption was 2,400 tons, with the United States (960 tons, 40%), China (800 tons, 33%), and Japan (300 tons, 14%) being the main consumers. The U.S. consumption is concentrated in high-tech fields (80%), while China's is primarily in traditional sectors (89%) [2][25] - By 2025, China's cesium demand is expected to reach 1,016 tons, a 27% increase from 2020, driven by advancements in atomic clocks and ion thrusters alongside the development of 5G and aerospace [2][36] - The global cesium and rubidium salt demand is projected to grow from 2,466 tons in 2025 to 4,600 tons in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 36.6% [9][50] Group 3 - The supply side is dominated by leading companies, with Zhongmin Resources controlling over 80% of global cesium lepidolite resources. By Q3 2025, the total production capacity is expected to reach 1,500 tons, accounting for over 50% of global capacity [3][10] - The global supply of cesium and rubidium salts is expected to be 2,210 tons in 2025, 3,135 tons in 2026, and 4,550 tons in 2027, indicating a gradual narrowing of the supply-demand gap [10][50] - The report recommends companies such as Zhongmin Resources and Jinyin Galaxy as key players in the cesium and rubidium industry [11][56]
行业深度():消费结构改善叠加新兴需求爆发,全球铯铷盐需求曲线或持
Dongxing Securities· 2025-09-29 10:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the rare metal industry, specifically focusing on cesium and rubidium resources, indicating a favorable investment environment [3]. Core Insights - The global demand for cesium and rubidium salts is expected to continue increasing, driven by improvements in consumption structure and emerging demands, particularly in high-tech applications and new energy sectors [7][8]. - The report highlights that the cesium and rubidium market is entering a rapid expansion phase, with supply and demand expected to rise simultaneously [9]. Summary by Sections 1. Cesium and Rubidium: Unique Properties and Applications - Cesium (Cs) is a rare light metal with unique physical and chemical properties, making it valuable in various applications, including electronics, catalysts, and medical diagnostics [5][24]. - Rubidium (Rb) is even rarer than cesium, primarily produced as a byproduct of lithium and cesium mining, and shares similar applications [19][24]. 2. Global Demand for Cesium and Rubidium Salts - Global cesium consumption in 2020 was 2,400 tons, with the US, China, and Japan being the top consumers [6][28]. - The demand for cesium in China is projected to reach 1,016 tons by 2025, a 27% increase from 2020, driven by advancements in high-tech applications [38][39]. - The report anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.7% for global cesium and rubidium salt demand from 2025 to 2027 [8][54]. 3. Recommended Companies - Zhongkuang Resources is identified as a leading player in the cesium and rubidium sector, controlling over 80% of global cesium resources and possessing significant production capabilities [57][58]. - Jinyin Galaxy is also mentioned as a key company in the industry, contributing to the expansion of cesium and rubidium salt production [57].