银行评级调整
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高盛:料内银行业迎来拐点 上调盈测及目标价 推荐招商银行
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 07:18
高盛发布研报称,今年以来其所评级的中资银行H股按市值加权计算录得26%升幅,其中招商银行 (600036)(03968)H股累升33%,跑赢交通银行(03328)的15个百分点,基于近期市场表现、投资者情绪 及经济环境变化,认为内银行业已迎来拐点。 高盛将预测评级银行第二季平均拨备前营业利润(PPOP)及净利润将平均增长0.3%,并将所评级内银H股 2025至2027年收入预测上调2%、4%及4%,税后净利预测上调5%、6%及5%,目标价平均上调12%,推 荐招行,维持"买入"评级,目标价从47.08港元上调至53.34港元。高盛重申对交行的沽售评级,目标价 维持6.21港元。 ...
又一银行信用评级被下调!
券商中国· 2025-07-20 11:40
又一中小银行主体信用评级被下调! 7月17日,中诚信国际公告称,决定将湖南常德农商行主体信用等级由AA调降至A+,将其发行的二级资本债 的债项信用等级由A+调降至A,评级展望均为稳定。 这是继山西榆次农商行之后,今年第二家被下调主体信用评级的商业银行。与此同时,年内亦有4家中小银行 获上调评级,包括武汉农商行、汉口银行、秦皇岛银行、江苏长江商业银行。 又一银行评级遭下调 二是,虽然盈利资产规模保持增长,且非息收入大幅提升,但该行净息差进一步收窄以及较大的资产减值损失 计提力度导致净利润大幅下滑,整体盈利能力较弱。2024年,该行仅实现微利0.03亿元。 三是,该行资本充足水平大幅下降,已低于监管要求;抵债资产规模较大且处置较为困难,面临很大资本补充 压力。 由于盈利能力下滑,利润留存减少,同时业务规模扩张持续消耗资本,截至2025年3月末,该行核心一级资本 充足率和资本充足率分别为6.75%和 8.08%,均已低于监管要求。 此外,由于商业门面、厂房等抵押物处置较为困难,去年末该行超过82%的抵债资产已超过2年处置期,但仅 有极少数按照400%的权重计入风险加权资产。 中诚信国际决定,将常德农商行主体信用等级 ...
年内首家!这家银行评级被三连降
券商中国· 2025-05-20 11:16
Core Viewpoint - The credit rating of Shanxi Yuci Rural Commercial Bank has been downgraded by China Chengxin International from BB to BB-, marking the first downgrade of a commercial bank's credit rating this year [1][2]. Group 1: Reasons for Downgrade - The bank's non-performing loans have increased rapidly, with a non-performing loan ratio reaching 34.43% and a significant shortfall in loan loss provisions, with a coverage ratio of only 0.38% [2][3]. - Loan growth has been weak, leading to a negative net interest margin of -0.53% and a net loss of 206 million yuan for the year, which is an increase of nearly 110 million yuan year-on-year [2][3]. - The bank is facing severe capital shortages, with core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio and total capital adequacy ratio at -23.87% and -21.26%, respectively, and many shareholders listed as dishonest [2][3]. Group 2: Historical Context - The bank has experienced three consecutive downgrades since 2021, with its credit rating falling from A+ to BB- over this period [1][4][6]. - The bank's financial reports from 2021 to 2024 have consistently received qualified audit opinions, indicating ongoing financial distress [7]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The trend of downgrading ratings for small and medium-sized banks has been prevalent, with over 10 banks experiencing downgrades annually from 2018 to 2021 [8]. - Recent reforms and mergers in the banking sector aim to mitigate risks and strengthen operational foundations, with local government capital injections becoming more common [8][9]. - The support from local governments is seen as a significant positive factor for banks, potentially leading to improved capital adequacy and credit ratings [9].