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锂矿股继续下挫 复产预期等扰动因素频现 高盛料锂现货价格面临下行风险
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 04:25
高盛将赣锋锂业H股评级从中性下调至卖出,理由是锂现货价格面临下行风险,因下游市场短期反馈欠 佳以及补库存增速放缓。高盛分析师团队在研究报告中指出,尽管锂市场基本面已显著改善,供需平衡 预计将在明年上半年保持紧张,但储能系统库存周期延长可能成为抵消因素。该行将2025年下半年中国 碳酸锂基准现货价格预测下调至每吨9500美元,较此前预期低14%。 消息面上,11月24日,碳酸锂期货主力合约一度跌超3%,最低触及90100元/吨,上周五全合约跌停。 招商期货认为,受去库速度放缓、枧下窝复产消息频传、交易限额调整等因素,盘面存在回调压力,且 12月紧缺情况有所收窄也压制价格进一步上行。 锂矿股今早继续下挫,截至发稿,赣锋锂业(01772)跌7.35%,报47.16港元;天齐锂业(09696)跌4.83%, 报44.88港元。 ...
港股异动 | 锂矿股继续下挫 复产预期等扰动因素频现 高盛料锂现货价格面临下行风险
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 04:01
智通财经APP获悉,锂矿股今早继续下挫,截至发稿,赣锋锂业(01772)跌7.35%,报47.16港元;天齐锂 业(09696)跌4.83%,报44.88港元。 消息面上,11月24日,碳酸锂期货主力合约一度跌超3%,最低触及90100元/吨,上周五全合约跌停。 招商期货认为,受去库速度放缓、枧下窝复产消息频传、交易限额调整等因素,盘面存在回调压力,且 12月紧缺情况有所收窄也压制价格进一步上行。 高盛将赣锋锂业H股评级从中性下调至卖出,理由是锂现货价格面临下行风险,因下游市场短期反馈欠 佳以及补库存增速放缓。高盛分析师团队在研究报告中指出,尽管锂市场基本面已显著改善,供需平衡 预计将在明年上半年保持紧张,但储能系统库存周期延长可能成为抵消因素。该行将2025年下半年中国 碳酸锂基准现货价格预测下调至每吨9500美元,较此前预期低14%。 ...
港A异动丨赣锋锂业AH股齐大跌,遭高盛下调评级至“卖出”
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-24 02:33
Group 1 - Ganfeng Lithium's A-shares fell over 8% to 59 yuan, while H-shares dropped over 7% to 47.26 HKD, marking the third consecutive day of decline for AH shares [1] - Goldman Sachs downgraded Ganfeng Lithium's H-share rating from Neutral to Sell, setting a target price of 32 HKD, citing downward risks for lithium spot prices due to poor short-term feedback from the downstream market and slowing inventory replenishment [1] - Despite significant improvements in the lithium market fundamentals, Goldman Sachs noted that the extended inventory cycle for energy storage systems could offset the tight supply-demand balance expected to persist in the first half of next year [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs revised its forecast for the benchmark spot price of lithium carbonate in China for the second half of 2025 down to 9,500 USD per ton, a 14% decrease from previous expectations [1] - The firm lowered its profit estimates for Ganfeng Lithium for 2026-2027 by 36%-42% and anticipates a loss in 2025 [1]