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资金情绪有所降温,碳酸锂盘面回落
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-07-24 02:51
Report Summary Market Analysis - On July 23, 2025, the main contract 2509 of lithium carbonate opened at 73,500 yuan/ton and closed at 69,380 yuan/ton, a -4.07% change from the previous day's settlement price. The trading volume was 1,334,159 lots, and the open interest was 362,054 lots, down from 411,638 lots the previous day. The basis was -2,470 yuan/ton, and the number of lithium carbonate warehouse receipts was 10,754 lots, a change of 665 lots from the previous day [1]. - According to SMM data, the price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 68,800 - 72,100 yuan/ton, a change of 1,350 yuan/ton from the previous day, and the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 68,300 - 69,300 yuan/ton, also a change of 1,350 yuan/ton. The price of 6% lithium concentrate was 770 US dollars/ton, a change of 3 US dollars/ton from the previous day [1]. - Downstream material factories have low price acceptance, leading to a widening price gap between upstream and downstream. The market transactions are mainly between upstream lithium salt factories and traders, and downstream material enterprises generally adopt a wait - and - see attitude except for a small amount of rigid procurement, resulting in light trading volume [1]. Strategy - The sharp decline in the futures market was mainly affected by the cooling of overall commodity and capital sentiment and news of a mining end loosening. The outcome of the lithium mine suspension is still unknown. In the short - term, news and warehouse receipt games have a significant impact, so risk management is recommended. If the mining end disturbances weaken in the future, the upstream can sell hedging in the far - month contracts [2]. - For unilateral trading, sell hedging at high prices when appropriate [2]. - There are no strategies for inter - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options trading [3].