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拓荆科技(688072):新品验证顺利放量,Q2盈利能力大幅回升
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-08-26 11:58
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [5][16]. Core Views - The company's profitability has significantly rebounded in Q2 2025, driven by successful product validation and increased revenue scale, leading to a substantial improvement in gross margin [6][7]. - The company has successfully introduced new products that have passed customer validation, contributing to revenue growth and enhancing market penetration [8][10]. - The increase in contract liabilities indicates a strong order backlog, which supports future revenue growth [8]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.245 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 56.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 75.7% [7]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 241 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 103%, marking a turnaround from a loss of 147 million yuan in Q1 2025 [7]. - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 38.8%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 8.1 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.9 percentage points [7]. - The net profit margin improved to 19.4%, up 4.4 percentage points year-on-year [7]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The revenue forecast for 2023A is 2.705 billion yuan, with projected growth rates of 59% for 2023, 52% for 2024, and 31% for 2025 [5]. - The net profit forecast for 2025E is 978 million yuan, with a growth rate of 42% compared to 2024 [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 3.50 yuan for 2025E, increasing to 5.06 yuan in 2026E [5]. Market Position and Trends - The company is expanding its coverage in thin film deposition equipment and has achieved comprehensive coverage of various hard mask processes, positioning itself as a leading equipment manufacturer in the domestic integrated circuit field [10][11]. - The company has received repeat orders for its wafer-to-wafer hybrid bonding equipment, indicating strong demand in advanced storage and logic sectors [11].