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令我们亏损的不是行情,而是投机取巧心
雪球· 2025-11-14 07:57
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining a cautious investment strategy, particularly in the high-tech sector, and highlights the risks associated with investing outside one's expertise [4][5][6]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The author holds a portion of technology stocks, achieving significant gains, such as a 130% profit from Jinfatech and 70% from GoerTek, but these holdings only represent 30% of the total portfolio [4]. - The investment philosophy is centered around the idea of having a "retreat" or exit strategy, allowing for more confident decision-making in volatile markets [5]. - The author recounts an experience where a colleague's aggressive trading strategy led to significant losses, illustrating the dangers of not having a risk management plan [6]. Group 2: Technology Sector Insights - The article discusses the disconnect between American AI companies and the Chinese AI chain, suggesting that this could lead to a fragile business model for U.S. AI firms, which rely heavily on inter-company investments [6][7]. - Despite the impressive performance of companies like Nvidia, there is skepticism among investors regarding the sustainability of profits in the AI sector, as many companies are not yet profitable and continue to incur high expenses [7]. - The current enthusiasm for high-tech stocks, particularly in AI, should be approached with caution, adhering to the principle of "better to miss out than to make a mistake" [7].
关于巴菲特“永不满仓”,是错误翻译!
雪球· 2025-05-06 09:04
风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 巴菲特股东大会之后,被传得最多一句竟然是: 我之所以赚了这么多钱,是因为我们"永不满仓"。 很多大媒体也在发这句话,但我看完就很疑惑,觉得这不像老巴说的话啊。 看到英文原文我明白了,这是翻译错了。 甚至我以最恶意的猜测来看,可能是为了流量,故意翻译错的。 作者: 大唐炼金师 来源:雪球 老巴的英文原文是:And we have made a lot of money by not wanting to be fully invested at all times. 晕,不追求什么时候都满仓,跟"永不满仓"能一样吗? 这句话的意思是,我们恰恰是因为不强求"永远满仓",才赚到了不少钱。 巴菲特是在比较投资机会,而不是为了不满仓而故意持有现金,持有现金是过程,而不是目的。 投资的目的是了持有未来回报更高的资产,这里的回报甚至都不是股价涨幅,而是持有未来能带来的现金流 多的资产,一定要搞清楚这点。 这句话出自2025年股东大会的第三个问答,我们也一起来看看全部的翻译吧。 股东问: 伯克希尔持有超过3000亿美元的现金与短期投资,占总 ...