Core Viewpoint - The company's performance in Q3 2025 aligns with expectations, showing a revenue increase but a decline in net profit due to stock incentive expenses and ongoing high R&D investments [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 10.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.8% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 810 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.8% - Adjusted net profit after stock incentive expenses was 1.18 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.1% [1]. Development Trends - Glo Hilo is expanding steadily in Japan and Poland, with positive sales momentum in the European vaping market - The company expects to see growth in revenue from HNB products and compliant vaping products in Europe, despite regulatory challenges in the U.S. [1][2]. Short-term Profitability and R&D - Short-term profitability may be slightly pressured due to increased orders from small clients in Europe and initial sales of HNB heating devices - The company is increasing R&D investments in vaping medical and HNB new businesses, which may impact net profit in Q3 2025 [2]. Long-term Growth Prospects - The company anticipates accelerated global expansion of Glo Hilo by 2026, which is expected to drive revenue growth - The vaping medical segment is expected to commercialize, opening up long-term growth opportunities [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders in 2025 has been reduced by 20% to 1.05 billion yuan, while the 2026 forecast has been increased by 11% to 1.88 billion yuan - The current stock price corresponds to a 47 times P/E ratio for 2026, with a target price maintaining a 69 times P/E ratio, indicating a potential upside of 46% [2].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates a downward adjustment of 20% in the forecast for Smoore International's (06969) 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders, bringing it to 1.05 billion yuan, while the 2026 net profit forecast is raised by 11% to 1.88 billion yuan, reflecting a positive outlook driven by HNB product sales [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 10.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.8%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 810 million yuan, a decrease of 23.8%. Adjusted net profit after accounting for stock incentive expenses was 1.18 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.1% [2] - Quarterly net profit figures for 2025 were 200 million yuan in Q1, 300 million yuan in Q2, and 317 million yuan in Q3, with year-on-year changes of -43.4%, +12.7%, and -16.4% respectively, aligning with CICC's expectations [2] Group 2: Market Expansion and Product Development - The Glo Hilo brand is expanding steadily in Japan and Poland, with the company positioned as a leader in flavor restoration, heating speed, and brand image. The positive sales momentum of heating devices is expected to contribute to revenue [3] - The company anticipates continued growth in the European vaping market, driven by differentiated compliant products from small brands, while orders in the U.S. are expected to remain stable despite regulatory tightening [3] - The company is leading in global market share for open-system proprietary brands, with expectations of continued year-on-year growth in Q3 2025 [3] Group 3: Profitability and R&D Investment - Short-term profitability may be slightly pressured due to increased orders from small customers in the European vaping market and initial sales of HNB heating devices. However, profitability is expected to improve as orders for vaping products increase and high-margin HNB products gain traction [4] - The company is increasing R&D investments in vaping medical and HNB new businesses, which, combined with the impact of stock incentive expenses, resulted in a year-on-year net profit decline of 16.4% and an adjusted net profit increase of 4% in Q3 2025 [4] Group 4: Long-term Growth Prospects - The company expects Glo Hilo to accelerate its global expansion in 2026, with concentrated shipments of HNB products likely to drive revenue growth. New products, technologies, and customers are anticipated to open up long-term opportunities [5] - In the vaping medical sector, the acceleration of complex generic drug development and the gradual realization of innovative drug collaborations are expected to lead to commercialization, providing long-term growth potential [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates a downward adjustment in the net profit forecast for Smoore International (06969) for 2025 by 20% to 1.05 billion yuan, while the 2026 net profit forecast is raised by 11% to 1.88 billion yuan, reflecting a strong performance driven by HNB product sales [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 10.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.8%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 810 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.8% [2] - Adjusted for stock incentive expenses, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.18 billion yuan, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.1% [2] - Quarterly net profit for 1Q, 2Q, and 3Q of 2025 was 200 million, 300 million, and 317 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -43.4%, +12.7%, and -16.4% [2] Group 2: Market Expansion and Product Performance - The Glo Hilo brand is expanding steadily in Japan and Poland, with the company positioned as a leader in flavor restoration, heating speed, and brand image [3] - The company anticipates continued growth in the European vaping market, driven by differentiated compliant products amid regulatory changes [3] - The open-system self-owned brand is leading in global market share, with expectations of continued year-on-year growth in 3Q25 [3] Group 3: Cost Structure and R&D Investment - Short-term profitability is impacted by the allocation of stock incentive expenses, while R&D investments remain high [4] - The company expects slight pressure on gross margins in the short term due to increased orders from small clients in the European vaping market and initial sales of HNB heating devices [4] - The net profit and adjusted net profit for 3Q25 showed year-on-year changes of -16.4% and +4% respectively [4] Group 4: Long-term Growth Prospects - The company is optimistic about the global expansion of HNB products, which is expected to drive performance in the coming years [5] - The combination of drug-device complex generic drug development and innovative drug collaborations is anticipated to lead to commercialization in the vaping medical sector, opening up long-term growth opportunities [5]

Core Viewpoint - Smoore International (06969) reported significant revenue growth in Q3 2025, reaching 4.197 billion yuan, a 27.2% year-on-year increase, but faced declining profitability with a net profit of 317 million yuan, down 16.4% year-on-year [1][10] Revenue Performance - The company achieved a record high quarterly revenue, with total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 at 10.21 billion yuan, up 21.8% year-on-year [1] - Revenue growth was primarily driven by the enterprise client business and proprietary brand business, with overseas markets, particularly Europe and the US, contributing over 97% of revenue [1][4] Business Segments - Smoore International operates two main business segments: enterprise client business and proprietary brand business, both focusing on overseas markets, especially Europe [4] - The enterprise client business generated 2.734 billion yuan in Europe and other countries in the first half of 2025, a 38% increase, accounting for 57.7% of this segment's revenue [4] - The proprietary brand business saw revenue of 1.07 billion yuan in Europe and other countries, a 15.1% increase, contributing 84% of its segment revenue [4][5] Market Strategy - The company shifted its market strategy post-2022, focusing on overseas expansion after facing declines due to pandemic-related supply chain issues and domestic regulatory challenges [2] - The US and China markets showed weaker performance, with a 6.7% decline in the US proprietary brand revenue and only 0.5% revenue contribution from China [5] Research and Development - Smoore International invested heavily in R&D, with total R&D expenditure of 722 million yuan in the first half of 2025, focusing on electronic nicotine delivery systems [6][8] - The company holds a significant number of patents, with 839 new applications globally, ensuring a competitive edge in the electronic vaporization market [8] Profitability Challenges - The company's profitability is under pressure, with net profit margins declining from 20.67% in 2022 to 7.92% in the first three quarters of 2025 [9] - Increased R&D and operational costs have led to a rise in expense ratios, impacting overall profitability despite revenue growth [9] Market Outlook - Analysts have mixed views on Smoore International's future, with some predicting revenue growth driven by electronic cigarette sales but cautioning about declining net profits due to rising costs [10] - The company's growth potential hinges on regulatory conditions in key markets, with expectations for profitability to improve as overseas markets and new product lines continue to develop [10]