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【南篱/黄金】真九月非农
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 12:36
Group A: ETF Holdings - The article discusses the changes in ETF holdings, indicating a significant increase in holdings in mid-October followed by a series of reductions, reflecting institutional panic as the market declined [4][5]. - In November, there has been a slight but continuous increase in ETF holdings, suggesting renewed confidence in gold among investors [4][5]. Group B: Speculative Sentiment Report - The speculative sentiment in the gold market has remained skewed towards bearish, with reports indicating a consistent 60-40 or even 70-30 split, suggesting a lack of bullish momentum [8][9]. - For gold to initiate a new upward trend, a shift back to a more bullish sentiment (at least a 70-30 split) is necessary [9]. Group C: Interest Rate Decisions and Policy Changes - The Federal Reserve's recent meeting revealed a consensus among officials leaning towards hawkish policies, with concerns about inflation and public trust in the Fed [10][11]. - The Fed has decided to end its balance sheet reduction earlier than expected, which may signal a shift from a tightening to a more accommodative monetary policy [12][14]. Group D: Non-Farm Payroll Insights - The article notes that the unemployment rate has remained around 4.3%, with expectations that the upcoming non-farm payroll data will not be particularly strong due to ongoing tariff issues [16][19]. - The impact of the non-farm payroll data on the market is highlighted, with specific thresholds indicating potential market reactions for both the dollar and gold [19]. Group E: December Layout - The article suggests that adjustments are ongoing, with a cautious approach recommended for participation in the market due to high volatility and increased risk [22][23].
黄金偏弱震荡,下跌通道能否延续?非农前短线布局续留意这一关键支撑!V助理团实时分析市场走势,点击获取当天智囊团私人服务,领取黄金分析>>
news flash· 2025-08-01 07:51
黄金偏弱震荡,下跌通道能否延续?非农前短线布局续留意这一关键支撑!V助理团实时分析市场走 势,点击获取当天智囊团私人服务,领取黄金分析>> 相关链接 ...
黄金短期走势偏弱,静待利率决议与非农指引!黄金日内空头力度衰竭,多头能否抄底布局?立即观看超V推荐官Jason的分析,马上进入直播间>>>
news flash· 2025-07-29 08:44
黄金短期走势偏弱,静待利率决议与非农指引!黄金日内空头力度衰竭,多头能否抄底布局?立即观看 超V推荐官Jason的分析,马上进入直播间>>> 相关链接 ...
黄金延续反弹,能否借非农扶摇直上3400大关?金十研究员高阳正在直播分析,点击进入直播间
news flash· 2025-07-03 11:18
正在直播中 黄金延续反弹,能否借非农扶摇直上3400大关?金十研究员高阳正在直播分析,点击进入直播间 相关链接 ...