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人民币崛起! 非洲开始去美元化, 埃塞俄比亚将54亿美元债务转投中国
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 13:26
Core Viewpoint - African countries, including Ethiopia, are collectively attempting to reduce their reliance on the US dollar, with Ethiopia negotiating to convert part of its $5.38 billion debt to China into renminbi [1][3]. Group 1: Debt and Currency Conversion - Ethiopia plans to convert part of its debt, which was previously used for infrastructure projects funded by China, from US dollars to renminbi [3][5]. - The current interest rate on Ethiopia's dollar loans is approximately 7.25%, while the rate for renminbi loans is around 3%, potentially saving Ethiopia billions in interest payments [5][8]. - Kenya has already converted three loans from US dollars to renminbi, estimating annual savings of about $215 million in interest [5]. Group 2: Economic Relations with China - China is Ethiopia's largest creditor, with infrastructure loans amounting to $14.5 billion, making it a crucial economic partner [8][10]. - Ethiopia's move to establish a stable renminbi settlement mechanism with China aims to strengthen long-term economic cooperation [8][10]. Group 3: Economic Challenges and Strategic Moves - Ethiopia faces significant economic challenges, including high inflation, unemployment, and a recent default on a $1 billion international debt [11][14]. - The Ethiopian government is seeking to alleviate foreign exchange pressures and reduce reliance on the dollar, which complicates imports of essential goods [14][16]. - Ethiopia's recent engagement in a currency swap framework with China is part of a broader strategy to enhance trade facilitation and strengthen its currency's independence [16][19]. Group 4: Broader Trends in Africa - The trend of "de-dollarization" is gaining momentum in Africa, with countries like Nigeria also signing currency swap agreements with China [19][21]. - This shift does not imply that China will take over Ethiopia's debt system but represents an alternative financial pathway for countries burdened by dollar-denominated debt [21][23]. - The move towards renminbi transactions is seen as a financial diplomatic strategy for China and a structural adjustment for Ethiopia, potentially marking the beginning of a monetary sovereignty awakening in Africa [23].