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老铺黄金(06181.HK)业绩前瞻:2025国内海外线下深化布局 差异化原创贡献营收
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-27 14:01
Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth in 2025, with a projected increase of 217% to 26.96 billion RMB, driven by strong online and overseas business performance [1] Group 1: Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company anticipates a revenue of approximately 14.6 billion RMB in the second half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 193% [1] - The expected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is 4.63 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 214% [1] - For the second half of 2025, the net profit is projected to be 2.36 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 167% [1] Group 2: Store Expansion and Strategy - The company plans to deepen its "few but exquisite, large but beautiful" luxury store location strategy, adding about 5 new stores in top-tier shopping districts by the end of 2025 [2] - The company has opened its first overseas store in Marina Bay Sands, Singapore, enhancing its international presence and reaching high-net-worth customers [2] - As of December 19, 2025, the company will have over 46 self-operated stores covering 16 cities, with a focus on high-end commercial areas [2] Group 3: Product Innovation and New Releases - The company is driving product iteration through differentiated original designs, with new product contributions expected to increase [3] - Several new products have been launched, including the "Golden Cross" series and the "Goddess of Light" pendant, aimed at broadening the customer base and enhancing brand appeal [3] - The company plans to release a new series themed around the Year of the Horse on January 1, 2026, to cater to festive gifting and collection needs [3] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 26.96 billion, 36.03 billion, and 43.78 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 217%, 33.6%, and 21.5% respectively [4] - The expected net profit for the same period is 4.63 billion, 6.51 billion, and 8.19 billion RMB, with growth rates of 214.3%, 40.6%, and 25.8% respectively [4] - The company maintains an "outperform the market" rating, with a target price of 948.4 HKD for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 20.4% [4]