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“新石油”时代来临!国内首批绿色燃料试点开启,距离产业化还有几道坎
第一财经· 2025-08-12 07:26
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent developments in China's green hydrogen-based energy projects, highlighting the first batch of pilot projects for green liquid fuel technology and their significance for the industry amid global economic challenges and energy transition uncertainties [3][4]. Group 1: Pilot Projects Overview - The first batch of pilot projects includes three types of green fuels: fuel ethanol, green methanol (referred to as "green alcohol"), and green ammonia, involving nine company projects [4]. - The Northeast region of China is a key area for these projects, with abundant wind and solar resources to support green hydrogen production [4]. - Many projects utilize renewable energy sources like wind and solar power for electrolysis to produce green hydrogen, which is then synthesized into green alcohol or green ammonia [4]. Group 2: Market Demand and Industry Trends - The demand for green hydrogen, green alcohol, and green ammonia will directly impact the scale of wind and solar energy consumption in the future [6]. - Eight out of the nine pilot projects focus on green alcohol and green ammonia, aligning with the green transition and new regulations in the global shipping and aviation industries [7]. - Green ammonia and green alcohol are seen as important solutions for decarbonizing the shipping industry, with agreements already in place for supply [7]. Group 3: Challenges to Industrialization - Despite the launch of projects, only 5% of planned capacity has found buyers, indicating that market absorption remains a significant challenge [9]. - The price competition between shipowners and green fuel suppliers is intense, with current production costs for green alcohol being significantly higher than market competitiveness thresholds [9]. - The production cost of green hydrogen fuels is heavily influenced by the cost of renewable energy electricity, which constitutes over 50% of the total production cost [9][10]. Group 4: Innovations and Cost Reduction Strategies - Many projects are adopting innovative energy storage technologies to stabilize production and reduce costs, such as using liquid nitrogen storage to manage excess renewable energy [11]. - Research indicates that when renewable energy prices drop to 0.15 yuan per kilowatt-hour, the price of green ammonia could become competitive with existing gray ammonia prices [10].
“新石油”时代来临!国内首批绿色燃料试点开启,距离产业化还有几道坎
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 12:14
Core Viewpoint - The pilot projects announced by the National Energy Administration aim to promote green transformation and the development of new technologies, models, and industries in the green liquid fuel sector, marking a significant step towards the industrialization of the green hydrogen industry in China [1] Group 1: Pilot Projects Overview - The first batch of pilot projects includes three types of green fuels: fuel ethanol, green methanol (referred to as "green alcohol"), and green ammonia, involving nine company projects [1] - The Northeast region is a key area for these projects, with eight of the nine located in Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning, and Inner Mongolia, while one project is in Jiangsu [1] Group 2: Resource Endowment and Production - The Northeast region has abundant wind and solar resources, which can provide sufficient electricity for the production of green hydrogen needed for green alcohol and green ammonia [2] - Many pilot projects utilize renewable energy sources like wind and solar power for electrolysis to produce green hydrogen, which is then synthesized into green alcohol or green ammonia [2] Group 3: Market Demand and Industry Trends - The demand for green alcohol and green ammonia is expected to significantly impact the scale of wind and solar energy consumption, especially in areas with high levels of abandoned electricity from solar projects [4] - Eight out of the nine pilot projects focus on green alcohol and green ammonia, aligning with the global maritime and aviation industry's green transition and new regulations [4] Group 4: Challenges to Industrialization - Despite the launch of several green ammonia projects, only 5% of the planned capacity has found buyers, indicating that market absorption remains a significant constraint on project development [5] - The production cost of green alcohol is currently much higher than its market competitiveness threshold, with green alcohol production costs around 5000 yuan per ton compared to the market price of gray methanol at approximately 2400 yuan per ton [5] Group 5: Cost Reduction Strategies - The economic viability of green fuel production heavily relies on the cost of renewable energy electricity used in hydrogen production, which accounts for over 50% of the total cost [5] - Some projects are adopting innovative energy storage technologies to stabilize production and reduce hydrogen production costs, such as the "liquid nitrogen storage" technology used in the Yanjing Chifeng project [7]