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宝城期货豆类油脂早报(2025年10月13日):品种观点参考-20251013
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-10-13 02:12
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The trading logic of the soybean meal market is about to change, and it may stop falling and rebound in the short - term, with the domestic price stronger than the international price. The palm oil futures price faces volatility risks in the short - term [5][7] 3. Summary by Variety Soybean Meal (M) - **Price Trend**: Short - term: oscillating; Medium - term: oscillating; Intraday: strong; Reference view: strong [5][6] - **Core Logic**: The domestic supply pressure has not been resolved, but soybean prices are near the cost line, oil mills are suffering continuous losses in crushing and have a stronger intention to support prices, and the negative basis of soybean meal is being repaired. Sino - US trade friction has escalated again, raising supply concerns. The suspension of the USDA report weakens the influence of US soybean futures on the domestic market [5] Palm Oil (P) - **Price Trend**: Short - term: oscillating; Medium - term: oscillating; Intraday: weak; Reference view: weak [6][7] - **Core Logic**: After the unexpectedly bearish impact of the Malaysian palm oil report is released, the futures prices of palm oil at home and abroad have dropped rapidly. The weakening of international oil prices also casts a shadow over the demand for palm oil biodiesel. Unfavorable factors in the industrial chain, unstable trade relations, and weak international oil prices drag down the performance of palm oil futures prices [7] Soybean Oil (Y) - **Price Trend**: Short - term: oscillating; Medium - term: oscillating; Intraday: oscillating weakly; Reference view: oscillating weakly [6] - **Core Logic**: Influenced by Sino - US relations, US biofuel policy, US soybean oil inventory, domestic soybean cost support, supply rhythm, and oil mill inventory [6]